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Weekly Recap | Northrop Grumman -5.61%, consensus target above spot

Weekly Review
Sep 5, 2026 at 07:31 AM
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Northrop Grumman (NOC) fell 5.61% this week to close at $514.98, while the S&P 500 edged up 0.09%, leaving the stock about 5.7 percentage points behind the benchmark. The week was a fade after an early push: Monday (31 Aug) opened at $539.63 and closed slightly higher at $539.70, Tuesday (1 Sep) touched the week’s high of $549.77, then the next three sessions slid steadily lower. Friday (4 Sep) dipped to a low of $512.54 before settling at $514.98, near the bottom of the range.

The Week

Northrop Grumman (NOC) fell 5.61% this week to close at $514.98, while the S&P 500 edged up 0.09%, leaving the stock about 5.7 percentage points behind the benchmark. The week was a fade after an early push: Monday (31 Aug) opened at $539.63 and closed slightly higher at $539.70, Tuesday (1 Sep) touched the week’s high of $549.77, then the next three sessions slid steadily lower. Friday (4 Sep) dipped to a low of $512.54 before settling at $514.98, near the bottom of the range. Friday’s volume of 914,005 shares was the heaviest of the week, suggesting stronger selling into the close.

Key Events

The most company-specific item this week was a $7m DARPA contract win announced Tuesday (1 Sep) at 17:16, for development of diamond-cooled chips. Around the same time, a cluster of industry pieces on semiconductor and industrial supply chain realignment, plus the divergence between defence/data-centre strength and consumer headwinds, kept the sector in focus. Notably, NOC’s share-price action was repeatedly framed against competitors: Tuesday and Friday both carried headlines noting it underperformed peers. The contract news and the stock slide ran in parallel, but there is no direct attribution to connect the two.

Analyst Ratings

Out of 24 analysts covering the name, 9 rate it buy, 4 rate it over, 10 rate it hold, and 1 has no opinion; there are no under or sell ratings. The consensus recommendation is buy, with a consensus target of $647.14286, which stands about 25.66% above spot. The target range is wide, from a low of $538 to a high of $815, a spread of roughly 51%, pointing to sizeable disagreement among analysts. Within the aerospace and defence sector, NOC ranks 3rd out of 84 brokers covered.

The Week Ahead

Key data lands on Thursday (10 Sep): the 10-year Treasury auction results (high yield and bid-to-cover), initial jobless claims, final demand PPI, and existing home sales. These will test whether the macro narrative of defence/data-centre strength versus consumer softness persists. The prior 10-year high yield was 4.683%; a further rise in yields could pressure high-multiple defence names. On Tuesday (8 Sep), NFIB small business optimism is out. NOC has no earnings scheduled this week.

In Short

The tension this week is between a supportive analyst backdrop—consensus buy, consensus target about 25.66% above spot, and a top-three sector rank—and the near-term flow picture: the latest daily read shows large, medium, and small lots all tilted to net selling. Price action closed below the 20-day average of $556.03, and valuation sits at roughly 16.27x P/E and 4.09x P/B, not cheap. The path ahead depends on macro rates and flow direction, and whether fresh contracts like the diamond-cooled chip deal translate into a durable order pipeline.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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Northrop Grumman

Northrop Grumman

NOC.US

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