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Weekly Recap | Blue Owl Capital -2.25%, most brokers rate it buy

Weekly Review
Sep 5, 2026 at 07:39 AM
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Blue Owl Capital (OWL.US) slipped 2.25% this week to close at $11.75, underperforming the S&P 500 by roughly 2.34 percentage points. The week followed a fade-and-dip pattern: Monday opened strong and hit a high of $12.37 before the price drifted lower over the next four sessions, ending Friday near the week’s low side. Weekly amplitude reached 7.1%. Volume was clearly elevated, with average daily turnover of about 26.

The Week

Blue Owl Capital (OWL.US) slipped 2.25% this week to close at $11.75, underperforming the S&P 500 by roughly 2.34 percentage points. The week followed a fade-and-dip pattern: Monday opened strong and hit a high of $12.37 before the price drifted lower over the next four sessions, ending Friday near the week’s low side. Weekly amplitude reached 7.1%. Volume was clearly elevated, with average daily turnover of about 26.7m shares running around 46% above the 60-day median, signalling wider disagreement.

Key Events

Company news this week split between private credit and data centres. Early in the week, co-CEO Ostrover was confirmed to speak at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, drawing attention to his remarks on private credit asset quality. On Wednesday, an analysis piece questioned whether the issuer’s elevated dividend payout could reshape its long-term capital allocation story. The company then opened a Zurich office to expand its Swiss private wealth business. Michael Burry’s warning about a private credit shell game put Blue Owl alongside Apollo and KKR in the spotlight, adding industry-level pressure. Friday was busiest: the firm’s real estate net lease trust sold around 16.6m common shares, while separate reports said Blue Owl is preparing to create a data-centre REIT and take it public with a portfolio of about $6.5bn.

Analyst Ratings

As of the latest data, 17 firms cover the stock: 8 rate it buy, 2 over, 6 hold and 1 under, with no sell ratings; the consensus rating is buy. The consensus target price is $12.73529, about 8.4% above the current price. The target range is wide—from $9.50 to $20.00—showing meaningful disagreement over data-centre and private credit valuations. Within the asset management and custody banking industry, the stock ranks 6th out of 109 peers.

The Week Ahead

Next week’s calendar leans on US macro releases. Tuesday brings the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, with a prior reading of 99.8. Thursday is heavy: the 10-year Treasury auction, initial jobless claims, final demand PPI and core PPI, and annualised existing home sales. If auction yields climb, the higher payout valuation of alternative asset managers could come under pressure. Progress on the data-centre REIT listing also merits watching, though no specific date is set.

In Short

This week set a meaningful contrast. Most brokers still rate the stock buy and the consensus target sits above spot, but Burry’s private credit warning and questions around the elevated dividend create pressure from both the industry and the business model. The push toward a data-centre REIT offers a fresh asset exit route. Whether that can offset concern about private credit exposure is the key line to follow.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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Blue Owl Capital

Blue Owl Capital

OWL.US

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