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Weekly Recap | Tencent Music -3.5%, consensus target above spot

Weekly Review
Sep 5, 2026 at 08:16 AM
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Tencent Music (TME) fell 3.5% this week to close at $8.26. The S&P 500 rose 0.09% over the same period, leaving the stock about 3.59 percentage points behind. The week’s high was $8.57 and the low $8.13, with a 5.15% range. The move was marked by a failed rally: Monday opened at $8.55 and touched the weekly high, before Tuesday and Thursday tested the $8.13 to $8.14 area, with Friday closing at $8.26. Average daily volume was about 13% below the 60-day median.

The Week

Tencent Music (TME) fell 3.5% this week to close at $8.26. The S&P 500 rose 0.09% over the same period, leaving the stock about 3.59 percentage points behind. The week’s high was $8.57 and the low $8.13, with a 5.15% range. The move was marked by a failed rally: Monday opened at $8.55 and touched the weekly high, before Tuesday and Thursday tested the $8.13 to $8.14 area, with Friday closing at $8.26. Average daily volume was about 13% below the 60-day median.

Key Events

The main story this week was debt financing. On Monday, the company announced a notes offering. On Thursday it priced $1 billion of senior notes, and on Friday it disclosed a US$500 million A-rated 2031 bond offering, with coupons up to 5.65%. Filings tied to the issuance included 424B2, F-3ASR and 6-K documents. On earnings, first-half fiscal 2026 profit attributable to shareholders fell 31.91% year on year to RMB 4.56 billion, while revenue rose 6.52% to RMB 16.83 billion.

Analyst Ratings

Thirty brokers cover the stock: 16 rate it buy, 2 overweight, 11 hold and 1 no opinion, with no underweight or sell ratings. The consensus rating is buy, and the consensus target of $13.16 sits about 59.3% above the $8.26 close. Target prices range widely from $9.03 to $26.70. TME ranks 4th out of 43 companies in its industry on broker ratings.

The Week Ahead

The US data calendar is the focus next week. NFIB small business optimism lands on Tuesday, while Thursday brings jobless claims, PPI, existing home sales and wholesale sales, alongside the 10-year Treasury auction. There is no company earnings date scheduled, but follow-through on the notes offering is worth tracking.

In Short

The broker consensus is buy with a target well above the spot price, while the stock fell this week and the latest session showed net selling in the money-flow snapshot. First-half attributable profit declined year on year, and the debt offering adds a new layer on the financing side. Valuation reads around 10x P/E and 1.11x book, with light volume through the week. The next test is how macro data lands and how the company balances earnings against financing costs.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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