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Weekly Recap | Marathon Petroleum +1.81%, oil tops $100

Weekly Review
Sep 12, 2026 at 06:21 AM
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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) closed the week at $395.93, up 1.81% from the prior close of $388.9 on 4 September, outpacing the S&P 500 by roughly 2.61 percentage points. The week moved sideways rather than in a clear trend, with a 4.26% range. Tuesday and Wednesday both ended above $397, Thursday dipped to $392.22 before settling at $392.42, and Friday rebounded to $395.93. Prices spent most of the week between $392 and $409.

The Week

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) closed the week at $395.93, up 1.81% from the prior close of $388.9 on 4 September, outpacing the S&P 500 by roughly 2.61 percentage points. The week moved sideways rather than in a clear trend, with a 4.26% range. Tuesday and Wednesday both ended above $397, Thursday dipped to $392.22 before settling at $392.42, and Friday rebounded to $395.93. Prices spent most of the week between $392 and $409.

Key Events

The week’s news centred on elevated oil prices and diverging refining-stock sentiment. On 7 September, reports highlighted gas prices topping $4 as crude moved above $90, naming Marathon Petroleum alongside Phillips 66 and Valero Energy. By 9 September oil reached $100, with coverage splitting winners from losers. At the company level, sources said on 11 September that Marathon was restarting a hydrotreater at its Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas. The same day, Bank of America Securities initiated coverage on MPC with a hold rating. The stock added 3.17% on Friday, while its relative performance against peers alternated across the week’s sessions.

Analyst Ratings

The stock carries 19 analyst ratings: 6 buy, 4 overweight, 8 hold, and 1 sell. The consensus rating is buy, with a consensus target price of $351.67, which sits about 11.18% below the spot price of $395.93. Targets range widely from $186 to $462. Within the oil and gas refining and marketing industry, MPC ranks third out of 17 comparable names.

The Week Ahead

Tuesday 15 September brings the New York Fed manufacturing index, with a prior reading of 20.6 and a consensus estimate of 14.75. Wednesday 16 September adds retail sales ex-autos, retail sales control, the NAHB housing market index, and EIA weekly crude inventories. The retail and crude inventory data are the more direct read-throughs for refining demand and stock levels, and could shape sector sentiment around the next leg of oil-price moves.

In Short

Marathon Petroleum’s share price tracked oil and refining headlines this week, but the tape was more rangebound than trending. The rating backdrop leans constructive with a consensus buy, yet the consensus target of $351.67 sits below spot, leaving an inverted gap between target and price. Valuation sits near 13x P/E and 5.83x P/B. On the latest trading day, large and medium orders tilted net seller, while small orders were net buyer. The open questions are whether oil holds the $90-100 zone and how next week’s retail sales and crude inventory prints land for the refining complex.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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Marathon Petroleum

Marathon Petroleum

MPC.US

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