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Weekly Recap | Cleveland Cliffs -3.52%, consensus target above spot

Weekly Review
Sep 12, 2026 at 08:02 AM
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Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) fell 3.52% this week to $12.06, underperforming the S&P 500 by about 2.72 percentage points as the benchmark slipped 0.8%. The stock swung within an 8.36% range in a fade-from-highs pattern. After Tuesday’s (Sep 8) high of $12.725, the price drifted lower over the next two sessions, touching a weekly low of $11.68 on Thursday (Sep 10). Friday (Sep 11) clawed back part of that loss to settle at $12.06.

The Week

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) fell 3.52% this week to $12.06, underperforming the S&P 500 by about 2.72 percentage points as the benchmark slipped 0.8%. The stock swung within an 8.36% range in a fade-from-highs pattern. After Tuesday’s (Sep 8) high of $12.725, the price drifted lower over the next two sessions, touching a weekly low of $11.68 on Thursday (Sep 10). Friday (Sep 11) clawed back part of that loss to settle at $12.06. Trading spanned only four days because Monday (Sep 7) was the US Labour Day holiday.

Key Events

Three items shaped the CLF story this week. At the start of the week, Bank of America Securities initiated coverage on CLF with a hold rating. On Thursday (Sep 10), a filing showed BlueCrest Capital Management added 209,645 shares of CLF, a routine position change that offers limited insight into price direction. Friday (Sep 11) brought two valuation-related pieces: one argued that CLF shares look below fair value after a 47% fall, while the other included CLF in a list of undervalued materials stocks led by LyondellBasell, with CLF playing a secondary role. Overall, the company itself produced no new product, earnings or partnership news, leaving ratings and valuation discussions to carry the week.

Analyst Ratings

As of this week, 13 institutions cover CLF: one rates it buy, 11 rate it hold, and one rates it underperform. None rate it sell or have no opinion. The consensus rating is hold, with a consensus target price of $12.20, only about 1.2% above the latest price of $12.06. Targets range from $10.00 to $15.00, a spread of roughly 40%, indicating that views on CLF’s valuation remain wide. Within the steel industry, CLF ranks fifth out of 20 names in analyst coverage.

The Week Ahead

Next week brings a dense US macro calendar. Tuesday (Sep 15) features the New York Fed manufacturing index, where the market expects 14.75 against a prior reading of 20.6. Wednesday (Sep 16) is the busiest day: August retail sales and retail sales excluding autos are due, with the headline figure expected to rise 0.9% month-on-month after a 0.6% decline previously. The NAHB housing market index, import prices and EIA crude inventories are also on the slate. As a cyclical steel producer, CLF tends to be sensitive to manufacturing and consumer demand signals, so any surprise in these data could shift sentiment across materials names.

In Short

The week left CLF with a modest tension between price action and the message from news flow. The share price kept sliding on thinner volume, while the analyst community remained broadly neutral, with a consensus target only slightly above spot, suggesting no firm agreement on the upside. On valuation, book value per share stands at $9.82, putting the latest price of $12.06 at about 1.23x price-to-book, near the middle of its recent range. The latest session’s flow data showed large and medium orders roughly balanced, with small orders leaning modestly net positive, giving no clear directional signal. The focus now shifts to next week’s macro data, particularly retail sales and the manufacturing index, to see whether they can break the cyclical trade out of its holding pattern.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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Cleveland Cliffs

Cleveland Cliffs

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