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Nebius Stock Stuck in Bear Market as Risks to Its Growth Story Build

benzinga_article
Sep 14, 2026 at 05:26 AM
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Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) stock remains in a bear market, down 25% from its peak despite surging revenue growth driven by AI demand. While Q2 revenue jumped 454% to $582 million and major deals with Microsoft, Meta, and Palantir bolster prospects, investors cite significant risks. These include high capital expenditures, shareholder dilution through share sales, rising costs, intense competition from entities like SpaceX, and technical bearish signals. Consequently, short interest has risen to 23%.

Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) remains under pressure, with repeated attempts to rebound stalling out. The stock closed the week at $224, down 25% from its all-time high, even as the company continues to post strong revenue growth amid the ongoing artificial intelligence boom.

Nebius Group Growth is Continuing

Nebius Group’s business is doing well as companies continue investing billions of dollars in the AI industry. This deployment will likely continue rising in the near future as demand for computing rise.

The recent results showed that its second-quarter revenue soared by 454% to $582 million. Its six-month revenue rose by 529% to $981 million. Most of this revenue came from its large deals with companies like Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META).

Benzinga data shows that analysts expect that Nebius Group’s revenue growth will accelerate. The annual figure is expected to come in at $3.34 billion, up by 534% from what it made last year.

Its 2027 revenue is also expected to jump by 260% to $12 billion. Indeed, the management said that demand, especially for its Vera Rubin chips, was so high that it could sell out its 2027 business today.

The company has also continued to ink some major deals. Last week, it made a major deal with Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR). This deal will make it the sovereign AI infrastructure partner, meaning that it pairs Palantir’s software layer with a purpose-built GPU cloud inside its security perimeter.

Nebius Stock Faces Some Major Risks

Despite its strong growth, NBIS stock faces some major risks, which explains why it has struggled to hit its all-time high. One of these risks is that it has formed a diamond reversal pattern, a common bearish reversal sign in technical analysis.

Nebius is also facing rising costs of doing business, as prices for key inputs like GPUs, memory, and servers continue to climb. The company spent over $5.7 billion on capital expenditure in the second quarter alone.

Despite holding $8 billion in cash, Nebius has started diluting its shareholders to help fund this spending. It sold $2.8 billion worth of shares in Q2, and management still has 12.3 million shares left under its current authorization.

The company is also seeing a surge in depreciation and amortization. Its D&A rose to $259 million in the second quarter and $471 million in the first half of the year. This is a huge amount since its revenue in the same period was $582 million and $981 million.

Competition is also rising in the neocloud industry. SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) inked a deal worth $1.1 billion a month last week. It has also reached more deals with companies like Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Anthropic. More competition is coming from Bitcoin mining companies like Riot Platforms and MARA Holdings. These concerns explain why its short interest has jumped to 23%.

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