---
title: "Willy Woo Sees 90% Chance Crypto Market Has Bottomed"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/299155426.md"
description: "Crypto analyst Willy Woo estimates a 90% probability that the cryptocurrency market has bottomed, citing returning long-term investor liquidity and an emerging early bull market structure. Unlike traditional cycle-based analyses suggesting only a 40% chance, Woo focuses on BTC liquidity metrics. He notes that while historical patterns are losing effectiveness, sustained investor inflows should support the ongoing bull market, though its duration remains uncertain."
datetime: "2026-09-16T08:44:46.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/299155426.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/299155426.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/299155426.md)
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# Willy Woo Sees 90% Chance Crypto Market Has Bottomed

Crypto analyst Willy Woo said he believes there is a 90% chance the crypto market has bottomed and that current liquidity conditions point to an early bull market structure. According to ChainCatcher, Woo said the key factor is BTC liquidity structure, while noting that long-term investor liquidity is returning. Woo said he is intentionally avoiding historical cycle patterns, even though those patterns have been highly effective in identifying market bottoms. He said other analysts’ consensus probability, based on cycle analysis, is about 40%. Woo added that if the liquidity-based view is correct, the market bottom is likely already in place. He said the remaining question is how long the bull market could last, but argued that the duration is still uncertain because historical cycle patterns are gradually losing effectiveness. As long as investor inflows do not weaken significantly, he said, the bull market structure should continue.

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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**