Weekly Recap | SPDR O&G Ex & Prd -4.78%, closing below its 20-day line

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SPDR O&G Ex & Prd (XOP) fell 4.78% this week, closing at $181.50. The S&P 500 gained 1.21% over the same stretch, leaving XOP about 5.99 percentage points behind. The fund swung in a 4.93% range, opening Monday at $187.57, touching a high of $188.94, then grinding lower through the week. Friday’s low was $179.69 before the close settled at $181.50. Trading picked up meaningfully: average daily volume of roughly 4.13m shares ran about 39% above the median.

The Week

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd (XOP) fell 4.78% this week, closing at $181.50. The S&P 500 gained 1.21% over the same stretch, leaving XOP about 5.99 percentage points behind. The fund swung in a 4.93% range, opening Monday at $187.57, touching a high of $188.94, then grinding lower through the week. Friday’s low was $179.69 before the close settled at $181.50. Trading picked up meaningfully: average daily volume of roughly 4.13m shares ran about 39% above the median.

Sector News

Energy shares came under pressure as crude prices slid through the week. Jefferies downgraded both Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum to hold from buy, citing rich valuations after a strong run and elevated refining exposure. Marathon closed down 3.16% on Tuesday, then bounced 3.09% on Thursday, a sign of how twitchy the tape has become. The downgrades spilled over to other refiners, with sentiment on downstream margins turning more cautious. On the upstream side, BP was reported to be circling Devon Energy’s Eagle Ford assets, fuelling talk of fresh US consolidation, while Chevron said it plans to ramp up well drilling next year.

The Week Ahead

The macro calendar is heaviest on Tuesday, 29 September, with FHFA home prices, the Case Shiller 20-city index, JOLTS job openings and consumer confidence all due. Consumer confidence is forecast at 90, up from 89.4, while JOLTS is seen at 7.24m versus 7.271m previously. Moves away from those expectations could feed through to demand assumptions and energy sentiment. Beyond the data, keep an eye on US-Iran talks and the simmering debate over a potential US diesel export ban, both of which can swing refining and E&P names quickly.

In Short

XOP fell nearly 5% this week against a rising S&P 500, with soft crude and downgrades on refiners doing the damage. Valuations, though, look undemanding at roughly 11x earnings and 1.41x book. The latest session shows large-lot money a touch on the sell side, but nothing extreme. Price-wise, the $181.50 close sits below the 20-day moving average of $190.33 yet above the 60-day line at $178.72, so this looks like a pullback within an intact medium-term trend. The question now is whether oil can steady and whether the refiners’ downgrades spread further into upstream E&P names.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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