---
title: "Probability of Fed Rate Hike in October Stands at 38.2%"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/300623138.md"
description: "According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% during its October meeting is 61.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 38.2%. Looking ahead to December, the probability of rates remaining at 3.75%-4.00% is 13.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike is 56.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 30%"
datetime: "2026-09-30T22:01:24.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/300623138.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/300623138.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/300623138.md)
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# Probability of Fed Rate Hike in October Stands at 38.2%

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00% during its October meeting is 61.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 38.2%. Looking ahead to December, the probability of rates remaining at 3.75%-4.00% is 13.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike is 56.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 30%.

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---
> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**