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Weekly Recap | IAUM.US -3.37%, heavy-volume pullback near range lows

Weekly Review
Oct 3, 2026 at 04:29 AM
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iShares Gold Trust Micro ETF (IAUM) fell 3.37% this week to close at $41.33, while the S&P 500 slipped just 0.27%, leaving the ETF about 3.1 percentage points behind the benchmark. The week shaped up as a peak-and-fade: Monday opened weak and touched $40.965 before recovering, Tuesday climbed to $41.625, Wednesday and Thursday held between $41.42 and $41.59, and Friday briefly hit $41.84 before dropping back to end at $41.33. The weekly range of 2.

The Week

iShares Gold Trust Micro ETF (IAUM) fell 3.37% this week to close at $41.33, while the S&P 500 slipped just 0.27%, leaving the ETF about 3.1 percentage points behind the benchmark. The week shaped up as a peak-and-fade: Monday opened weak and touched $40.965 before recovering, Tuesday climbed to $41.625, Wednesday and Thursday held between $41.42 and $41.59, and Friday briefly hit $41.84 before dropping back to end at $41.33. The weekly range of 2.12% sits in the lower-middle part of the two-month $39.49–$46.65 band, with the close still below the 20-day moving average of $42.737 and the 60-day average of $42.611.

Sector News

The dominant theme in gold this week was the tug of war between interest-rate expectations and the dollar. Early in the week, headlines around the Strait of Hormuz triggered a sell-off in bullion, pushing gold to a six-week and then an eight-week low. Later, cooler US August PCE inflation data and retreating Treasury yields helped gold futures rebound repeatedly from Tuesday to Thursday. Wells Fargo cut its gold price target on Thursday, citing interest-rate and dollar-strength risks. Friday’s soft US payrolls data dialled back bets on a Fed hike and nudged gold higher, but gold futures turned lower on Saturday, suggesting rate-sensitive buying remains fragile. Gold ETF flows stayed positive through the week, with some commentary noting gold has been defying 24-year-high Treasury yields, while others flagged a seasonality pattern that investors may be overlooking.

The Week Ahead

The US macro calendar is fairly busy next week: Monday brings the S&P Global services PMI final and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI, Tuesday has international trade and goods trade balance revisions, and Wednesday brings EIA weekly crude oil and Cushing inventories. For a gold ETF, the services PMIs and trade data will continue to shape the dollar and Treasury yield path, while crude inventories can feed into inflation expectations through energy prices. With gold futures fading after Friday’s payrolls, the market still looks sensitive to incoming inflation and labour-market data, making next week’s services readings a key test of that storyline.

In Short

IAUM’s decline this week was driven more by gold-price swings than by any deterioration in its own trading structure: total volume reached 17.81m shares, with the daily average of 3.56m about 50.4% above the two-month median, so the down-move came with heavier-than-usual trading and widening disagreement. The latest session’s large-lot flow was net buying while small-lot flow was net selling, contrasting with the week’s peak-and-fade price path. Rate expectations, the dollar and geopolitical headlines pulled gold back and forth, keeping IAUM in a $40–$42 range. What matters next is whether services-sector data and the follow-through from payrolls can help gold reclaim its 20-day moving average, rather than continuing to grind around the $41 level.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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iShares Gold Trust Micro ETF

iShares Gold Trust Micro ETF

IAUM.US

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