Weekly Recap | ONDG.US -14.29%, defence orders top $270m

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The Week

ONDG.US fell 14.29% this week, closing Friday at $1.775, against a 1.15% rise for the S&P 500 — an underperformance of about 15.44 percentage points. The week followed a one-way slide: Monday opened at $2.300 and touched a high of $2.325, then the daily range moved lower through Thursday when the price broke below $2, before Friday printed a low of $1.730 and settled near the bottom of its 60-day range. Weekly amplitude was 25.87%, with average daily volume around 3.13m shares, roughly in line with the 60-day median.

Sector News

Ondas’ autonomous defence business dominated the news flow. From Monday, the company disclosed a $56m order for safe-and-arm devices for a European loitering munition programme, and Citizens initiated coverage with a Market Outperform rating and a $14 price target. On Wednesday, Ondas said new orders since the last update had exceeded $165m; by Friday, the total had moved past $270m. At the same time, Ondas appeared on lists of the most shorted stocks on Wall Street, and some reports flagged it as a short-squeeze candidate. The ETF moved lower through the week without any visible sector-driven support.

The Week Ahead

Attention shifts back to US macro data next week. Tuesday brings the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index and existing home sales; Wednesday is the key day, with CPI and core CPI releases. The market expects monthly and yearly headline CPI to edge up, with core CPI seen at 2.5% year on year. For a leveraged ETF with large daily swings, those prints matter mainly through rate expectations and discount pressure on growth assets.

In Short

The week paired a steady stream of order and coverage updates with a falling price. The autonomous defence order pipeline advanced from over $165m to above $270m, and a new buy-rated coverage was added, yet none of it reversed the slide. The latest trading day’s flow data showed large-lot money as a net seller relative to smaller orders. The unlock is earnings and CPI: whether the ETF stabilises around the low or extends lower will depend on order delivery and next week’s inflation data.

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