Weekly Recap | Deere +3.37%, most brokers rate it buy

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The Week

Deere (DE) rose 3.37% on the week to close at $641.86, while the S&P 500 fell 1.95%, leaving the stock about 5.32 percentage points ahead. The week was choppy but net positive: Monday opened lower and recovered, Tuesday jumped toward $650, Wednesday and Thursday held above $650 with an intraday high of $660.39, then Friday pulled back to $641.86, leaving a visible upper wick. Weekly range was 6.83%, and average daily volume of about 1.26m shares ran slightly above the 60-session median.

Key Events

News flow around Deere this week centred on the ag equipment industry and policy. On 13 October, media flagged Washington scrutiny of the ag equipment recovery trade, highlighting the tension between improving demand and regulatory attention. A separate ratings round-up placed Deere among blue-chip names seeing updated broker rankings, and a 16 October construction stocks watchlist also included the company, reflecting sentiment tied to its construction machinery exposure. There was no company-specific earnings or major deal during the week, so price action largely tracked sector and policy mood.

Analyst Ratings

Coverage on Deere stood at 25 firms as of this week: 11 rate it buy, 5 overweight, and 9 hold, with no underweight or sell ratings. The consensus rating is buy, with a consensus target price of about $694.01, roughly 8.12% above the week’s close. The target range is wide, from $500.00 to $813.18. Deere ranks first in analyst coverage within agricultural machinery, where the median coverage is just 5 firms, pointing to concentrated sell-side attention.

The Week Ahead

Macro data next week tilts heavily toward US housing and construction. The NAHB housing market index lands on 19 October, followed on 20 October by housing starts and building permits, with prior readings of 1.275 and 1.403 respectively. For Deere, these feed into construction machinery and compact equipment demand expectations. EIA weekly crude and Cushing inventories follow on 21 October. Deere’s own next report is the fiscal Q4 2026 release on 25 November, with consensus around $4.06 EPS and about $10.4bn revenue.

In Short

Deere gained this week and clearly outpaced the S&P 500. Brokers remain broadly constructive, with a buy consensus and a target roughly 8.12% above spot, though the target range is wide. Latest-session fund flow shows large-lot money leaning net seller while retail money turns net buyer, so the two directions have not converged. At the same time, the ag equipment recovery trade sits alongside Washington scrutiny, keeping the sector narrative tense. What matters next is how housing and construction data transmit into machinery demand, and whether the November earnings can support roughly 35.5x P/E and 6.18x P/B.

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