---
title: "Probability of Fed Holding Rates Steady in October at 83.9%"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/302616338.md"
description: "According to CME FedWatch: The probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady by October is 83.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 16.1%. The probability of holding rates steady by December is 9.9%, with a 76.0% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 14.2% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike"
datetime: "2026-10-21T22:08:42.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/302616338.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/302616338.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/302616338.md)
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# Probability of Fed Holding Rates Steady in October at 83.9%

According to CME FedWatch: The probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady by October is 83.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 16.1%. The probability of holding rates steady by December is 9.9%, with a 76.0% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 14.2% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike.

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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**