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Weekly Recap | UPS -5.15%, most brokers rate it buy

Weekly Review
Sep 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM
LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

UPS fell 5.15% this week to close at $93.96. The S&P 500 gained 1.21%, so the stock underperformed the benchmark by roughly 6.36 percentage points. It was a one-way pullback: the shares opened near $98.76 on Monday, slid through the week, hit a low of $91.63 on Thursday, and settled back above $93 on Friday. Full-week amplitude was 7.27%.

The Week

UPS fell 5.15% this week to close at $93.96. The S&P 500 gained 1.21%, so the stock underperformed the benchmark by roughly 6.36 percentage points. It was a one-way pullback: the shares opened near $98.76 on Monday, slid through the week, hit a low of $91.63 on Thursday, and settled back above $93 on Friday. Full-week amplitude was 7.27%.

Key Events

The week’s story turned on Amazon shipment pressures. On Monday, brokers trimmed their price targets from $115 to $108, citing concerns about slower Amazon volumes. By Tuesday, UPS was among the worst performers in the S&P 500, tracking that same theme. Thursday brought another leg lower, with market commentary zeroing in on the reasons behind the drop. At the same time, UPS was grouped with Pfizer and Kraft Foods as names yielding over 6%, but the dividend angle did not steady the shares. On Friday, the Class B stock was relatively resilient versus peers early but still ended the week on a soft note.

Analyst Ratings

The stock is covered by 29 institutions: 14 rate it buy, 2 rate it overweight, 12 rate it hold, 2 rate it underweight, and 1 rate it sell. The consensus recommendation is buy, with a consensus target of $115.81, about 23.25% above the latest price. Targets range from $76 to $135, a wide spread. UPS ranks first among 17 names in the air freight and logistics industry.

The Week Ahead

Next week opens with the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index, followed by JOLTS job openings, consumer confidence, and FHFA and Case Shiller home-price data, mostly clustered on Tuesday. The company’s next major catalyst is its fiscal third-quarter results, due before market open on 27 October. The market is looking for EPS of about $1.61 and revenue of about $22.1 billion. Amazon volume trends and the macro rate picture are likely to stay in focus.

In Short

This week left a tension between external order pressure and a valuation that is not cheap. The sell-side consensus is still a buy, with a target above spot and a top-ranked industry position, but the stock trades near 5.31x book and 17.49x earnings. The latest session’s money flow showed net selling across large, medium, and small lots. The mood is subdued, and next week’s macro data plus the late-October earnings print are the next checks to watch.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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