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Weekly Recap | ERX.US +2.96%, near a key level

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The Week

ERX.US rose 2.96% this week to close at $126.61, from $122.97 a week earlier. The S&P 500 fell 0.47% over the same stretch, so the ETF outperformed the benchmark by roughly 3.43 percentage points. Trading was choppy: after Monday’s higher open the fund hovered near $121 into midweek, dropped to $115.77 on Thursday, then snapped back to $126.61 by Friday’s close, leaving an intra-week range of about 10%.

SPDR Energy Select This Week

The underlying SPDR Energy Select (XLE.US) gained 1.6% to end at $69.33. It started Monday at $67.95, pulled back toward $66 on Tuesday and Thursday, then pushed back above $69 on Friday as oil prices firmed. The week’s high of $69.72 marked a 60-day range high, while the 5.06% weekly amplitude suggests a steady but not explosive grind higher.

Leverage & Decay

This product tracks two times the daily move of SPDR Energy Select, not two times the cumulative weekly move. On a daily rebalanced basis, the theoretical weekly gain was about 3.2%, while the actual result was 2.96%, a gap of 0.24 percentage points. That gap comes from daily resetting: the underlying had a positive week, but repeated midweek pullbacks created a small drag. Choppier trading tends to widen this decay, so holding over time does not simply deliver 2x of the underlying’s cumulative return.

SPDR Energy Select News

This week’s energy news centred on natural gas and oilfield services. Kinder Morgan beat on third-quarter earnings and approved $4.7 billion in pipeline projects, lifting the stock into the second half of the week. SLB posted a 6% revenue gain that beat expectations and shares climbed more than 6% on Friday. Chevron announced a $13.8 billion Argentina expansion, while Valero ran refineries near record utilisation. With oil topping $100 on Iran-related concerns, XLE hit a fresh stage high.

The Week Ahead

Next week brings a busy macro slate: durable goods orders on Tuesday (forecast 1.5) and consumer confidence (forecast 81). There are no direct energy earnings, but the staying power of oil above $100 and any restart news from offline refinery units will shape SPDR Energy Select’s path. For this 2x ETF, the key remains the underlying’s day-to-day path and news flow.

In Short

The week showed steady gains in the underlying, with a modest decay drag in the leveraged product. Turnover ran near 19%, pointing to active trading, while the latest session showed mixed flows between medium and small orders rather than one-sided net buying. Broker views on Valero were split, with a $490 target on one side and a downgrade to sell on the other. The question heading into next week is whether oil’s strength holds and whether XLE can stay above $69.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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