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Weekly Recap | SPDR O&G Ex & Prd +0.65%, closing in on record highs

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The Week

XOP.US added 0.65% this week to close at $201.69, outperforming the S&P 500 by roughly 1.12 percentage points (the index fell 0.47%). The weekly range was 5.29%, with a pattern of early weakness and late strength. The fund opened Monday at $199.345, swung between $196 and $202 on Tuesday and Wednesday, dipped to a low of $193.06 on Thursday and finished that session at $196.87, then rebounded sharply on Friday to an intraday high of $203.60 before closing at $201.69. That $203.60 high on Friday is also the top of the 60-day range, leaving the weekly close less than 1% below it.

Sector News

Energy news this week centred on oil prices and refining. On Tuesday, reports of Gulf tensions lifting crude prices pushed US energy stocks higher; on Thursday, renewed fears over Saudi supply sent oil and energy shares up again. Friday brought a cluster of milestone moves: ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil hit record highs, EOG Resources, APA, Ovintiv and Murphy Oil touched 52-week highs, and the energy ETF XLE also set a record. On the refining side, Valero Energy posted third-quarter revenue and adjusted EPS above estimates, and later guided fourth-quarter refinery utilisation ranges on its earnings call. Phillips 66 locked out union workers at its New Jersey refinery. Among ratings, Siebert Williams Shank kept its buy on Ovintiv, Citigroup set a new $490 target on Valero, and Freedom Broker cut Valero from hold to sell. The overall tone was lifted by oil strength, but the rating actions were mixed rather than uniformly positive.

The Week Ahead

The coming week is heavy on US macro data. Tuesday brings durable goods orders, FHFA home prices, Case Shiller home price indices, new home sales, the Richmond Fed composite index and consumer confidence; Monday sees the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index. For energy, the key questions are whether oil holds its weekly gains and how markets digest the US authorisation to release up to 400,000 barrels from the strategic reserve. Separately, Exxon’s Joliet, Illinois refinery unit is still offline, with IIR Energy suggesting it could return to service next week.

In Short

XOP.US closed higher on the back of oil and geopolitical momentum, but the move was moderate and looked more like beta to the broader energy trade than a fund-specific catalyst. On valuation, the fund trades at about 12.23x P/E and 1.57x P/B. Latest-session flow showed net buying in large-lot orders and net selling in small and medium orders. The sector news was broadly strong, yet rating actions were split between an upgrade and a downgrade. What matters next is whether elevated oil can support earnings expectations across refiners and exploration and production names, and how the macro calendar shapes risk appetite.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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