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Weekly Recap | Li Auto -6.28%, consensus target above spot

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Li Auto (LI) fell 6.28% this week to close at $12.23. The stock opened Monday at $12.71 and hit a weekly high of $12.87 before drifting lower through the next four sessions. It printed a weekly low of $12.115 on Friday and finished the week 5.94% below the peak intraday level. Volume spiked to 4.8m shares on Tuesday and then tapered off, with Friday’s 1.8m shares running about 40% below the week’s daily average. The close sits below both the 20-day moving average of $12.

The Week

Li Auto (LI) fell 6.28% this week to close at $12.23. The stock opened Monday at $12.71 and hit a weekly high of $12.87 before drifting lower through the next four sessions. It printed a weekly low of $12.115 on Friday and finished the week 5.94% below the peak intraday level. Volume spiked to 4.8m shares on Tuesday and then tapered off, with Friday’s 1.8m shares running about 40% below the week’s daily average. The close sits below both the 20-day moving average of $12.57 and the 60-day average of $12.77.

Key Events

Second-quarter earnings and product updates set the narrative this week. Li Auto reported unaudited Q2 results before the open on 26 August. Revenue beat estimates, but EPS came in $0.21 below market expectations. Vehicle gross margin was slightly short of consensus while the average selling price recovery exceeded forecasts. The company also flagged caution around forward guidance. On the same day, Li Auto said it would launch a next-generation Mega MPV on 2 September with an upgraded cabin and smart-driving hardware. In the following days, overseas plans surfaced: the i6 is earmarked for Europe, the L9 is being mapped for Dubai, and reports said the company hired a world-model expert to strengthen its robot AI push.

Analyst Ratings

Across 26 institutions covering Li Auto, 8 rate it buy, 3 overweight, 14 hold, 1 underweight, and none sell, with 3 of the buy ratings marked strong buy. The consensus rating is buy, and the consensus target price of $16.534 sits 35.19% above the latest close of $12.23. The target range is wide, from a low of $9.000 to a high of $27.092. Within the automakers industry, Li Auto ranks 3rd out of 30 names.

The Week Ahead

The company’s own calendar centres on product launches. The next-generation Mega MPV arrives on 2 September, and the market will be watching configuration and pricing signals for order momentum. On the macro side, US ISM manufacturing PMI for September lands on 1 September with a forecast of 55.2 versus a prior 55.6, followed the same day by JOLTS job openings. ADP private payrolls and factory orders come on 2 September, providing further reads on consumption and manufacturing strength. The i6 and L9 overseas rollouts in Europe and Dubai will also be in focus.

In Short

Li Auto had a pullback week around its earnings print: revenue surprised to the upside but guidance stayed cautious, while the sell-side consensus remains buy with a target price more than a third above spot. That sits against a weak large-lot flow reading in the latest session. The next test is whether the 2 September Mega MPV launch can inject fresh order momentum, and how quickly the European and Middle East product push turns into tangible progress.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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