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Weekly Recap | Newmont +1.97%, consensus target above spot

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Newmont (NEM) gained 1.97% this week to close at $117.84, outpacing the S&P 500’s 1.15% rise by roughly 0.82 percentage points. The week played out as a dip-and-rebound: Monday through Wednesday slid to a weekly low of $111.75 before Thursday and Friday recovered steadily, with Friday touching an intraday high of $119.05. Daily volume averaged about 4.7 million shares, below the median level of the past 60 sessions, indicating a relatively thin tape.

The Week

Newmont (NEM) gained 1.97% this week to close at $117.84, outpacing the S&P 500’s 1.15% rise by roughly 0.82 percentage points. The week played out as a dip-and-rebound: Monday through Wednesday slid to a weekly low of $111.75 before Thursday and Friday recovered steadily, with Friday touching an intraday high of $119.05. Daily volume averaged about 4.7 million shares, below the median level of the past 60 sessions, indicating a relatively thin tape.

Key Events

The company’s own news this week centred on two Northumberland gold project disposals. StrikePoint announced completion of the acquisition of the Northumberland gold project from Newmont subsidiaries, first on Tuesday and again on Thursday. Meanwhile, Newmont’s CEO publicly called for capital discipline across the gold industry despite higher prices, signalling a reluctance to chase output at elevated costs. On the tape, a stronger dollar pressured bullion on Wednesday, and NEM fell as much as 3.00% pre-market, before gold recovered alongside a softer dollar over the following two sessions, leaving the stock higher by Friday’s close.

Analyst Ratings

Twenty-three brokers cover NEM: 15 rate it buy, 5 overweight, 2 hold, and 1 sell, making the consensus rating buy. The consensus target price sits at $137.33, implying about 16.54% upside from the current $117.84. Targets remain wide, ranging from $67 to a high of $170, reflecting divergence on how far the gold upcycle can run. NEM ranks second among 49 gold-sector names in aggregate broker ratings.

The Week Ahead

The coming week hinges on macro data and the quarterly report. US CPI and core CPI prints land on Tuesday, October 14, with market forecasts already on the calendar; the inflation data will feed directly into bullion and gold miner sentiment. On the corporate side, Newmont reports fiscal Q3 2026 results after market close on Thursday, October 22, with consensus estimates at $2.4888 EPS and $6.229 billion revenue. The print will test how much of the gold rally has actually translated into earnings.

In Short

Newmont shook off a midweek pullback to finish the week in positive territory and ahead of the broader market. The broker skew is constructive: 20 of 23 covering analysts rate the stock buy or overweight, and the consensus target stands about 16.5% above spot. Valuation is not stretched by historical standards, at roughly 14.4x earnings and 3.52x book, while the latest session showed net inflows across large, medium and small orders, though that reflects a single day’s flow. The tension lies in the wide target spread and thin volume; what comes next depends on how CPI lands and whether Q3 earnings confirm the optimism already embedded in gold equities.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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