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The Office for National Statistics says the UK economy recorded its strongest monthly growth in more than two years in February

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UK economy sees strongest growth in over two years

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The British Retail Consortium (BRC) reported a 3.1% year-on-year increase in the UK's same-store retail sales for March, exceeding the expected growth of 0.9% and the previous month's 0.7%. This data reflects a stronger-than-anticipated performance in the retail sector for the month.

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UK March BRC Retail Sales Exceed Expectations with 3.1% Growth

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European bourses fell midday as President Trump announced the US will block the Strait of Hormuz after failed peace talks with Tehran. Oil stocks rose, with Brent crude futures up 7.1% at $101.96 a barrel. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped 0.6%, while technology and food shares lagged. Germany's DAX fell 1%, and the FTSE 100 lost 0.5%. The Euro Stoxx 50 volatility index rose 6.8%, indicating increased market volatility ahead.

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Persian Gulf Turmoil Blunts European Bourses Midday

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Germany's DAX 30 index closed up 0.38% at 23895.61 points, with a cumulative gain of about 3.1% this week. The French stock index closed up 0.40%, the Italian stock index closed up 0.88% with its banking index up 1.82%, and the UK stock index closed up 0.06%

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Lloyds share price surged over 4% to 96.10p as British stocks rebounded, with the FTSE 100 Index rising by 1.8%. The stock is expected to be in focus as Lloyds Bank publishes its earnings on April 29th amid stagflation in the UK economy. Analysts predict revenue will rise to over £4.98 billion. The Bank of England's hawkish stance may benefit Lloyds by boosting net interest margins. Technical analysis suggests the stock could rise further, targeting 100p and potentially reaching 115p if it breaks that level.

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Here’s why the Lloyds share price is ripe for a surge in April

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European stocks fell on Friday, extending a three-week losing streak, with the Stoxx Europe down 1%. Key indices included Germany's DAX (-1.4%), FTSE 100 (-0.1%), and France's CAC (-0.8%). In corporate news, Novartis announced a $2 billion acquisition of Excellergy, while AstraZeneca's drug tozorakimab showed positive trial results, boosting its shares by 3%. Novo Nordisk's new diabetes drug received FDA approval but saw a 5% drop in shares. Banco Santander reaffirmed its financial targets, with shares up 0.2%. Sanofi's new treatment for multiple myeloma was recommended for approval, increasing its shares by 1.5%.

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European Stocks Falling in Friday Trading as Investors Remain Jittery Over Middle East Conflict, Rising Oil Prices

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) faces tough decisions amid ongoing disruptions and economic shocks. MPC member Taylor emphasized the challenge of balancing high inflation with sluggish economic growth, highlighting the complexities policymakers must navigate in the current economic environment.

Bank of England Faces Tough Choices Amid Inflation and Economic Growth Concerns

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UK inflation remained steady at 3% in February, unchanged from January, despite rising global energy costs raising concerns about future price surges. The consumer prices index reflects a balance between rising costs in some categories and easing in others. Economists warn that the outlook has shifted due to escalating energy prices, particularly from the Middle East conflict. Core inflation rose to 3.2%, complicating the Bank of England's policy outlook, which may now lean towards tightening rather than cuts. The government is committed to supporting households amid fiscal challenges and volatile energy markets.

- February's inflation rate in the UK held steady at 3%, matching January's figures and aligning with economists' expectations.  
- Rising energy costs, spurred by conflict in the Middle East, are reshaping inflation dynamics, with key pressures expected to resume as energy prices climb.  
- The government remains committed to supporting households amidst fiscal challenges, while the uncertain energy market complicates policy decisions for the Bank of England.

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UK inflation steady at 3% in February as energy shock clouds outlook

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the UK in February rose to 0.4%, meeting market expectations and recovering from January's -0.5%. This stabilization in consumer prices indicates stable inflationary pressures, which may ease concerns for policymakers and consumers. The CPI is crucial for measuring inflation and guiding monetary policy decisions.

UK February CPI Matches Expectations at 0.4%

European stock markets closed with mixed results. Germany's DAX index rose by 1.2% to 22,653 points, while France's CAC index increased by nearly 0.8% to 7,726 points. Conversely, the UK's FTSE 100 index fell by 0.2% to close at 9,894 points.

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European Stock Markets Show Mixed Results

FTSE 100 Live 23 March: Stocks rebound and oil price falls on hopes of end to war -

FTSE 100 live: Stocks rebound and oil falls on hopes of end to war

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MORE ECB WAGE TRACKER: HEADLINE NEGOTIATED WAGE GROWTH SEEN FALLING TO 1.7% IN FEB 2026, RISING TO 2.6% BY Q4

The UK economy's growth forecast has been slashed to 0.4% from 0.9% due to the impact of the ongoing war in Iran and rising energy prices. Oxford Economics warns that elevated oil and gas prices will keep interest rates high, affecting business investments. The forecast could worsen if the conflict continues, with potential oil prices reaching $140 per barrel, risking a recession. Additionally, energy price caps are expected to rise significantly, further straining the economy. The UK government maintains it is not involved in the conflict despite tensions surrounding military actions in the region.

- The UK economy is projected to grow by only 0.4 per cent, significantly lower than the previous estimate of 0.9 per cent, due to the ongoing impact of the war in Iran and energy price shocks.  
- Oxford Economics has revised its forecast, indicating sustained high oil and gas prices will hinder business investments and keep interest rates elevated.  
- The future outlook remains uncertain; further escalation in the Middle East could worsen conditions, with potential implications for energy prices and growth forecasts.

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UK economy in peril as growth forecast slashed in half

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The fall came despite the engineering company saying it would return some of the cash from the sale of its Smiths Detection unit to shareholders.

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Smiths Group leads FTSE 100 fallers as it issues slightly light outlook

Andrew Bailey: Rate cuts ‘not on the horizon’

Andrew Bailey: Rate cuts not on the horizon

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UK economy sees strongest growth in over two years

UK March BRC Retail Sales Exceed Expectations with 3.1% Growth

Persian Gulf Turmoil Blunts European Bourses Midday

Germany's DAX 30 index closed up 0.38% at 23895.61 points, with a cumulative gain of about 3.1% this week. The French stock index closed up 0.40%, the Italian stock index closed up 0.88% with its banking index up 1.82%, and the UK stock index closed up 0.06%

Here’s why the Lloyds share price is ripe for a surge in April