---
title: "Market Shocks: AI, Cisco, Rates"
description: "AI dual narrative, Cisco beat-fall, rate delay. Join the chat & earn Task Coins!"
type: "topic"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000466943.md"
published_at: "2026-02-12T03:14:23.000Z"
author: "[Hotspot](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/24747427)"
---

# Market Shocks: AI, Cisco, Rates

Hey community 👋 — here’s today’s global market briefing tailored. This week feels like a “macro meets AI sentiment reset” moment, and price action is getting interesting.

## 🔥 **US markets: Open strong → Close weak (AI disruption fears rising)**

Last night’s session saw classic risk-off rotation:

👉 Major indexes opened higher but faded into the close.  
👉 AI disruption fears are *no longer just bullish hype* — they’re starting to pressure sectors seen as vulnerable.

Key developments:

-   New AI tools triggering worries about automation risks in finance, legal, and software sectors.
-   Software and service stocks particularly sensitive as investors reassess earnings durability.
-   Real estate service stocks recorded their worst one-day drop since the pandemic (reflecting macro + tech disruption fears).

💡 Market narrative shifting:

AI = long-term growth driver  
BUT  
AI = near-term earnings uncertainty & sector disruption

This dual narrative is causing volatility rather than a straight AI rally.

## 📊 **US Jobs data: Strong headline… but hidden weakness?**

January Non-Farm Payrolls:

✅ +130K jobs (beat expectations)  
✅ Unemployment rate: 4.3% (slightly lower)  
⚠️ Annual revision: -862K jobs (huge downward adjustment)

Translation:

-   Labour market still resilient short-term.
-   But revisions suggest hiring was weaker than previously believed.

Market reaction:

👉 Rate-cut expectations pushed later — many now see first Fed cut around July instead of early-year.

For investors:

-   “Higher for longer” rate environment still base case.
-   Growth stocks may face valuation pressure.

## 💰 **US budget update: Deficit narrows — tariffs driving revenue**

US FY2026 (first 4 months):

-   Budget deficit shrank ~17%.
-   Tariff revenues surged.

Why markets care:

-   Fiscal tightening could impact liquidity.
-   Trade policy still a macro wildcard (especially for semis + global exporters).

## 🍎 **Apple Siri delay — AI competition heating up**

Reports suggest:

-   New Siri upgrade may be postponed again.
-   Internal testing exposed issues.
-   Some features possibly pushed to September launch window.

Takeaway:

👉 Apple’s AI strategy is moving slower vs competitors — could impact market expectations if narrative shifts toward “lagging AI race”.

## 🤖 **AI wars escalate globally — Zhipu launches GLM-5**

Highlights:

-   Focus on coding and agent-based AI workflows.
-   Competition intensifying among China models (Qwen, Doubao, Wenxin, etc.) and overseas players.

Investor angle:

👉 AI is no longer just Nvidia vs hyperscalers — ecosystem competition expanding across regions.

## 📡 **Cisco earnings: Beat expectations… stock drops anyway**

Cisco reported:

-   Revenue +10% YoY (record level)
-   Strong AI infrastructure demand
-   Raised outlook

BUT:

❌ After-hours stock fell >7%.

Why?

-   Margin outlook weaker.
-   AI expectations already very high — “good isn’t enough”.

Classic AI-era phenomenon:

👉 Market pricing future perfection.

## 🎯 **Today’s watchlist**

📌 US Initial Jobless Claims (macro direction clue)  
📌 Earnings: Coinbase, Airbnb, NEBIUS, Huahong Semiconductor  
📌 HK grey market: Haizhi Tech, Wall Nuclear (IPO sentiment gauge)

## 🎁 **Comment & Earn!**

1️⃣ Are we entering an **“AI volatility phase”** instead of AI straight bull run?  
2️⃣ Cisco beating but dropping — is this peak expectations or buying opportunity?  
3️⃣ With rate cuts potentially delayed to July, which sectors survive best?

💬 Drop your thoughts, predictions, or trades below and earn **188 Task Coins!**  
🤫 Ps: You’ll get **an extra 100 Task Coins** if you **comment and repost** (as shown below).

‼️ **Important** ‼️

1.  **No reward** will be given for duplicate or similar content.
2.  Rewards will be issued within 1-2 working days.

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---

> **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.