SG Visual Research
2026.06.15 03:10

US-Iran De-escalation: How Assets May React

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$iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT.US) 
$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)

After progress in U.S.-Iran talks, markets moved into risk-on relief:
Oil fell, stock futures rose, inflation concerns eased, and safe-haven demand cooled.
The key chain:
Geopolitical risk falls
→ Oil falls
→ Inflation pressure eases
→ Bond pressure declines
→ Risk appetite improves
But asset relationships are not fixed.
If talks reverse, oil and gold may regain strength, while stocks and BTC may face pressure.
Same event, different dominant driver, different asset reaction.
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