Bullish. Target price $190 (corresponding to a market cap of approximately $2.5 trillion), holding period 12 months. Core support: Starlink as the core profit segment, with operating profit exceeding $4.4 billion in 2025, global subscribers surpassing 10 million, and cash flow steadily materializing; NASA and U.S. military backlog orders exceeding $22 billion, providing a long-term revenue safety cushion; Starship mass production is expected to reduce launch costs by another 80%, unlocking long-term growth potential in space cargo and space computing. Hedging strategy: Allocate 10% to traditional defense/aerospace ETFs to hedge against R&D underperformance risks, with single-stock position controlled within 8% of total capital.
$SpaceX(SPCX.US)
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