---
title: "☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record"
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000901470.md"
description: "At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high..."
datetime: "2026-09-16T03:06:46.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000901470.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/100000000901470.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/100000000901470.md)
author: "[Captain's Watch](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/24747427.md)"
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# ☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: **the Fed's rate decision**. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high. Let's dig in 👇

**💬 Wall Street is pricing in a near-certain hike at tomorrow's 2am decision — after a week like this, would a surprise hold be the bigger shock?**

## 📊 Quick Recap — What Moved & Why

### 🇺🇸 US — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

**🔑 Key Event:** A 20-year Treasury auction drew a record **5.420%** yield, breaking the Oct 2023 high — a weak auction (biggest tail since 2024, lowest indirect-bidder share on record). Markets now price ~90%+ odds of a hike at tomorrow's 2am decision, the first in three years.

> @TheCollector : Based on recent past, when the CME FedWatch tool indicates more than 60% rate hike probability into the FOMC meeting, a rate hike will happen. The probability is now close to 90%, so it's very likely.

#### 👀 Other to Watch

**Macro**

-   Saudi's pipeline dispute deepens: Bloomberg says repairs could take up to 6 weeks; US Energy Sec. Wright says "days." Yanbu has loaded zero crude since Sept 11.

**Crypto**

-   **The CLARITY Act** failed its Senate procedural vote (short of the needed 60) — $Circle(CRCL.US) **-11.42%**, $Coinbase(COIN.US) **-10.10%**, $BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US) **-8.39%**; ARK Invest sold over $65M of COIN/CRCL hours before the vote.

**Company news**

-   $Meta Platforms(META.US) 's 3rd-gen inference chip (Arke) reaches data centers H1 2027; it canceled the dual-purpose "Olympus" chip on cost grounds.
-   $Corning(GLW.US) → Mizuho cut its price target to $180 from $210, following Friday's $2B dilutive offering.
-   $Dell Tech(DELL.US) → **+1.73%**, extending Friday's record-high breakout.
-   $Broadcom(AVGO.US) 's CEO reaffirmed unchanged FY27/28 AI revenue targets, pushing back on slowdown fears.

### 🇸🇬 Singapore — STI Rebounds With the Fed Decision Ahead

**🔑 Key Event:** $FTSE Straits Times Index(STI.SG) closed Tuesday at 5,638.64, then rebounded **+0.27%** to around 5,653 this morning.

> @Fattycat : The Fed's rate call this Wednesday will move Singapore banks, gold and S-REITs... Don't trade the headline, trade the shift in expectations.

#### 👀 Other to Watch

-   All three local banks rose: $DBS(D05.SG) **+0.39%** to S$77.05, $OCBC Bank(O39.SG) **+1.29%** to S$31.40, $UOB(U11.SG) **+0.27%** to S$41.44.

### 🇭🇰 HK/China — HSI Holds Steady Ahead of the Decision

**🔑 Key Event:** $Hang Seng Index(00HSI.HK) closed Tuesday at 24,667.24, then eased **-0.07%** to around 24,648 this morning.

#### 👀 Other to Watch

-   Tencent and Alibaba reportedly outperformed Tuesday, cushioning the index's decline; this morning both eased slightly: $TENCENT(00700.HK) **-0.59%**, $BABA-W(09988.HK) **-0.19%**, $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) **-1.36%**, $MEITUAN(03690.HK) **-0.60%**.

## 📅 Upcoming Key Events

| **When (SGT)**         | **What**                                                                                                     |
| ---------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
| **Today, Wed 16 Sept** | 🇺🇸 Retail sales (3 readings), import prices, 8:30pm; NAHB housing index, 10pm; 🇪🇺 industrial production, 5pm |
| **Thu 17 Sept**        | 🇺🇸 **FOMC rate decision;** 🇺🇸 Jobless claims, housing starts, Philly Fed index; 🇭🇰 unemployment rate         |
| **Fri 18 Sept**        | 🇯🇵 **BOJ rate decision**; 🇺🇸 industrial production, leading indicators                                       |
| **Mon 21 Sept**        | 🇨🇳 1-year Loan Prime Rate                                                                                    |

👇 Drop your take (20+ words) & click "Repost" to earn 288 Task Coins ✨  
🚫 No duplicates · ⏰ Deadline: Sept 16, 2026, 11:59 PM SGT

Not investment advice, just market talk 🙏

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## Comments (41)

- **longbridgehksgus · 2026-09-18T02:53:30.000Z**: The rate hike is already priced in. The stock market remains bullish. Trump still needs the stock market to help him in the midterm elections. He can create various topics or events out of nothing to profit from them. Invincible when shameless.
- **Zero · 2026-09-16T16:38:49.000Z**: Hopefully it doesn’t hike the rates…. If not…. But Boj might
- **TheCollector · 2026-09-16T13:22:43.000Z**: Fed had resisted hike long enough. market don't think they can resist longer. a 25bp hike in the near term may allow economists to assess it's effectiveness in the current environment. Separately, Walsh may be in a conundrum.. presumably he wouldn't want to upset Trump too much by being freely hawki
- **Dacai · 2026-09-16T12:15:33.000Z**: With the rate hike very likely, the stocks of Singapore banks should do well. The long-suffering reits will once again have to brave the headwinds but I think they are better prepared now.
- **NewUser_oPJWOU · 2026-09-16T11:15:44.000Z**: Will a repeat of 2018 happen tonight? The last time it happened, S&P dropped drastically, led by the major tech companies. Although some of my holdings are positioned for long term, the short term drawdown could still be painful to watch
- **0wMYbg · 2026-09-16T08:15:38.000Z**: Haha hopefully no hike 🤭 or only 25 basis point hike. Anything more than that I think S&P will fall further 😔😔
- **koolgal · 2026-09-16T07:33:18.000Z**: The Beginner's Playbook: How To Invest Safely On FOMC DayIf you are a new investor, you do not need to hide under the bed until the FOMC meeting is over.  You just need to trade your fragile sports car for an armoured financial vehicle.Here is how to navigate tomorrow's rate hike:Avoid the Siren Son
- **NewUser_hCn26 · 2026-09-16T06:51:27.000Z**: With 20-year yields at a record 5.42% and market odds above 90%, a rate hike is virtually guaranteed. Any surprise hold tomorrow would trigger massive market volatility.
- **LazyCat · 2026-09-16T06:28:41.000Z**: This week feels like a game of high stakes poker , starting with the first weekend AI ghost story card, followed by no-go for clarity act card and now the market betting (pricing in) a near certainty of rate hike. Rate wise, a confirmation is not the key, but rather hints of what's ahead is needed t
- **Valenxis · 2026-09-16T06:22:56.000Z**: wondering. what if Fed paused hike instead, against the market expectation. just so to buy time and postpone to have wait & see period until after midterm in Nov? lol
- **FaithAnchor · 2026-09-16T05:59:22.000Z**: $Corning(GLW.US)GLW’s AI story remains compelling, but Mizuho’s $180 target cut is a reality check. Great growth can still come with a hefty price tag and execution risk.
- **dingdongbell · 2026-09-16T05:29:03.000Z · 👍 2**: Everyone is talking about the Fed’s decision and how they will certainly raise rates. Haha….If I am Warsh I will show who’s the boss and hold or best cut rates. Then hand over to Bessent to wait for the bond vigilantes to move and then buy, buy, buy short squeeze them all, sell Fort Knox’s gold as g
  - **Heroic Lifesaver** (2026-09-16T05:36:49.000Z): Haha……That will be awesome and will be a real maverick’s move! 😂
- **The · 2026-09-16T05:28:38.000Z · 👍 1**: Dell Tech US Stock rise out of other decline of US Stocks.Local Straits Times and local banks shares increase. Hong Kong stocks decrease for Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Baba, Xiaomi, and Meituan. With the upcoming events of unemployment rate, not a very good news.
- **NewUser_CkrdqW  · 2026-09-16T05:16:58.000Z · 👍 1**: Broadcom still falling and is currently down for the year despite solid revenue growth and slightly "below expectations" guidance, though I think it's more of inflated market expectations than Broadcom not delivering. I think this could be one worth to watch, especially if the broader market
- **Heroic Lifesaver · 2026-09-16T05:04:31.000Z · 👍 1**: It’s Fed’s D-day. The day that everyone is so convinced that Warsh will hike. Imagine if he does not? I mean to be fair he can argue that the inflationary pressure is driven by oil prices and the data does show that. Hiking rates won’t do much to that and he needs to protect the labour market. 🤔
  - **Fattycat** (2026-09-16T05:10:56.000Z): I also have this feeling that he may spooked the markets with no rate hikes….. I think he will hold rates till mid term election is over.🤭
  - **Heroic Lifesaver** (2026-09-16T05:35:38.000Z): Nice way of telling the market not to tell him what to do!
- **DvdLTW · 2026-09-16T04:44:13.000Z · 👍 1**: Looks like everything is already anticipated and everyone has already priced in that anticipation.Only a clear reversal of these expectations or a definitive sharper decision by FOMC will ever shock this current market environment. NFA: May be a good time to pick up some S-Reits to build a dividend 
- **NewUser_ThinkSwim · 2026-09-16T04:41:16.000Z · 👍 2**: High treasury yield, highest debt plus printing divided money to the US for election purposes. I really do not know how high the market will go before crashing with so many bad factors adding on daily. Caution and DCA slowly into the stock if you like the stock or sector in the US market. Good chanc
- **Lemonade · 2026-09-16T04:36:39.000Z · 👍 2**: With the 20-year Treasury yield surging to 5.42% after a weak auction, fixed income yields are flashing clear warnings before tonight’s Fed decision. The CME FedWatch tool pricing ~ 90% odds of a rate hike means the market is fully bracing for tighter liquidity. While STI and regional equities are h
- **Pardha · 2026-09-16T04:27:41.000Z · 👍 2**: FOMC meeting September 2026 finally coming tonight. is there a rate hike ? or the rate remains ? or cut rate this time? What do you think?


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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**