---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000903510.md"
description: "The dots in the 2027 plot are interesting as there were actually 3 members projecting rate cuts to 3.5%-3.75% and one projecting 3-3.25% (!) in 2027 while the rests opined target range to be either 4.00%-4.25% or 4.25%-4.5%. The accompanying SEP projected PCE inflation to fall from 3.7% at end 2026 to 2.3% by end 2027. Should this happen, the dot plots for the later years projected fed fund rates to move towards the mid 3% range by 2029. 🤔"
datetime: "2026-09-17T03:53:23.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000903510.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/100000000903510.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/100000000903510.md)
author: "[LazyCat](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/16872684.md)"
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# The dots in the 2027 plot are interesting as there…


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## Comments (1)

- **Ethan1 · 2026-09-17T07:56:19.000Z**: the sep inflation path is conditioned on each member's own rate assumption, so that pce decline already assumes their dots, it is not independent evidence for the cuts.


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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**