---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000939175.md"
description: "October CPI rose 3.7% YoY, beating the expected 3.6%, while core CPI hit 2.6%, both marking the highest levels this year.CME data shows the probability of a rate hike in October surged from 21.6% to 43.7%.The 5-year US Treasury yield touched its highest level since 2007 before rebounding in the afternoon bond rally.The market-implied probability of a Fed rate hike this year has exceeded 50%.Consequently, the US stock market saw volatile trading last night; we expect to see the true trend only later on."
datetime: "2026-10-15T04:04:46.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000939175.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/100000000939175.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/100000000939175.md)
author: "[Tiffany lover](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/21320188.md)"
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# October CPI rose 3.7% YoY, beating the expected 3.…


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## Comments (1)

- **Jessy_0723 · 2026-10-15T08:25:48.000Z**: one thing the odds miss is that there is no further cpi print before the decision on the 28th. the next scheduled inflation reading is the michigan one year expectations final on the 23rd.


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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**