US Midterm Elections🌟🌟🌟On Tuesday 3 November 2026, American voters will decide all 435 seats in the House of Represen…

US Midterm Elections

🌟🌟🌟On Tuesday 3 November 2026, American voters will decide all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats. The big question is whether Democrats can wrest congressional control away from President Donald Trump's Republican party.

Gridlock vs Sweep:

Markets historically favour political gridlock (a divided Congress) as it limits major policy surprises and sweeping new legislation. Conversely an unexpected full sweep could spike volatility.

Sector Impact:

If Democrats reclaim the House (as widely projected), expect increased regulatory scrutiny on Wall Street banks, cryptocurrency policies and AI development.

Sectors tied to fiscal budgets such as defense, healthcare and traditional energy, will react sharply to the balance of power.

Here is the Good News:

The S&P500 has risen in the 6 months following 19 out of the last 20 US midterm elections dating back to 1946.

This translates to a staggering 95% historical win rate for investors who stayed the course during the political storm.

Will the same thing happen again this year? I certainly hope so. That is why I have stayed invested in $State Street Portfolio S&P 500 ETF - SPDR(SPYM.US)which tracks the S&P500. It is a mini version of $SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US). The big difference is the expense ratio : only 0.02% compared to SPY's expense ratio of 0.09%. Over time this translates to more money in my pockets.

Dear Fellow Investors, do you think the market will go up post midterm elections?

@Captain Leo