--- title: "Money or Life US Stock Channel's Summary of Views on RKLB:" type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/33048810.md" description: "Money or Life US Stock Channel is a YouTube channel. It mainly talks about US stock investments. https://www.youtube.com/@Money_or_Life/videos I've been watching it for a while and think it's pretty good. It's a typical example of someone working in the US but passionate about stock trading. It summarizes his views and actions on $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US). Overall, it aligns with my thinking. His approach to options is quite mature..." datetime: "2025-08-17T11:01:59.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/33048810.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/33048810.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/33048810.md) author: "[老板的老板 AI Exec](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/123.md)" --- # Money or Life US Stock Channel's Summary of Views on RKLB: > Money or Life US Stock Channel is a YouTube channel. It mainly discusses US stock investments. [https://www.youtube.com/@Money\_or\_Life/videos](https://www.youtube.com/@Money_or_Life/videos) I've been watching it for a while and think it's quite good. It's a typical example of how someone working in the US but passionate about stock trading operates. It summarizes his views and actions on $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US). Overall, it aligns with my thinking. His approach to options is quite mature, similar to @价值&投资. Those who are interested can learn from it. Personally, I'm more extreme, so don't follow my lead. 😁 Ace holds a very positive **long-term investment view** on Rocket Lab (RKLB) and considers it one of the **most valued and continuously added stocks** in his personal portfolio, even becoming his largest holding, almost on par with Tesla. He views RKLB as a "true faith" high-quality company worth holding long-term. Here are Ace's views and specific action recommendations for RKLB: ### Ace's Views and Analysis on RKLB **Overall Evaluation and Market Positioning:** - Ace believes Rocket Lab is a "**hexagonal warrior**" (all-rounder), with the highest comprehensive score among all listed space companies. - He emphasizes RKLB's business importance in the space sector, combining management, growth potential, future development space, and profitability, making it the best choice in the space sector. - RKLB aims to become a **comprehensive end-to-end satellite application company**, which is a key selling point for its future. **Stock Performance and Technical Analysis:** - Although RKLB's stock price has recently fluctuated near the 20-day moving average and even briefly fell below it, Ace believes its performance is "**not too bad**," with no clear downtrend. - He observes recent price fluctuations between upper and lower shadows, feeling like market makers are "**washing out**" weak-handed investors. - The weekly chart shows RKLB has declined over the past four weeks, but each week has seen upward probes (e.g., highs of $47 or $50), though without a decisive breakout. Ace thinks continued consolidation wouldn't be surprising. - Ace believes RKLB's current price isn't "overheated" or "overvalued," with the trend remaining steady. - Its high Beta (2.27) indicates significant volatility, requiring investors to have "strong nerves." **Financial Performance:** - RKLB's **Q2 2025 revenue exceeded company guidance**, with non-GAAP gross margins near 37%, performing excellently. - Although Q2 EPS missed expectations, Ace personally considers this less critical at this stage. - **Average selling price (ASP) for Electron launches has increased**, and space systems business margins are also rising, driving overall margin improvement. - Revenue growth dipped to 15-16% in 2023 but has rebounded to 60%, entering a phase of growth. - The current P/S ratio is around 40, the highest among peers but not particularly overvalued compared to RKLB's historical highs (38-40). **Neutron Rocket Progress and Importance:** - Neutron's progress is a key focus for Ace. First-stage rocket testing and assembly aren't yet complete, which is the next critical area. - **Archimedes engine testing is accelerating**, with one produced every 11 days, 3-4 hot-fire tests daily, and a 152-second full-duration test video showing clean combustion. - Launch Complex 3 will officially debut on August 28. - CEO Peter Beck has "**aimed for a launch by year-end**" and secured an FCC license valid through 2025. He emphasizes not "rushing for the sake of rushing," stating, "I wasn't born to build junk." **Successful first launch is far more important than timing**. - **Ace estimates a slightly over 50% chance of a 2025 launch, with a 30-40% chance of delay to Q1 2026**. - Beck defines Neutron's success as "**orbit insertion**," followed by scaling, and finally reusability. - RKLB won't announce major satellite constellation projects before Neutron's success due to limited funding. **Acquisition Strategy and Space Systems Business:** - RKLB can handle payloads, thanks to its acquisition of Geost. - The "Golden Dome" program, one of the Pentagon's largest projects, will bring significant opportunities, but its realization depends on Neutron's success. - RKLB is completing production of 18 SDA satellites, accounting for over half of the company's backlog. - **New acquisitions are planned**, especially in space systems (e.g., phased array antennas), which the market views positively. **Future Catalysts:** - Ace lists potential catalysts for RKLB over the next six months: **new acquisitions, Q2 revenue exceeding expectations** (he's optimistic), and **Neutron launch timing or success** (neutral to optimistic). ### Ace's Actions and Investment Strategy for RKLB **Current Holdings and Targets:** - Ace holds a **heavy position in RKLB shares**, now at 31%, nearly matching Tesla as his top holding. - He believes RKLB is a "**long-term hold**" company. **Buying/Adding Strategy:** - Ace's long-term strategy is to **buy RKLB at relative lows**, adding more if cash allows. - He consistently buys small amounts at lows and has increased his share holdings. - He once bought 1,000 RKLB shares at $36.5 (chasing highs). - He plans to buy 200 shares at $43, bringing his rolling position to 500 shares (most of his core holdings remain unchanged). - He advises against waiting for extreme scenarios like Neutron delays or failures to buy; if bullish, buy earlier. - If RKLB falls, he might sell puts (SP) for a mild bullish stance. He'd watch for support near the 20-day MA (~$45), similar to ASTS, and consider selling puts. **Selling/Profit-Taking Strategy:** - Ace advises **against selling Rocket Lab lightly**. - He chooses to **hold all RKLB shares firmly**. - He sold some VSAT (Viasat) profits, reallocating part to RKLB. - He also sold Transmedics (TMDX) and half his Nvidia (NVDA) shares to raise cash for RKLB. - For options, he **takes profits on existing calls and puts**. He's closed 100% profitable $35 calls and 60%+ profitable $17 puts. - He rolls sold puts, e.g., building larger 2027 Jan $40 SP positions. **Risk Control:** - Ace emphasizes **always controlling risk**. - Despite his optimism, he warns investors to prepare for market pullbacks. ### Related Stocks - [RKLB.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/RKLB.US.md) ## Comments (16) - **小亏中亏大亏特亏亏光 · 2025-08-18T09:16:37.000Z**: Boss, what do you think about the recent market risks? Buying so many long-term calls recently feels a bit risky. Wouldn't it be better to wait for a correction before buying more? I don't believe the S&P can keep rising until next January. Moreover, I think small-cap stocks like RKLB will drop - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-08-18T09:34:16.000Z): Reward is proportional to risk. I can bear the risk of calls going to zero. But not everyone can. Also, I will admit defeat and cut losses if I feel the momentum is not right. But today I don't - **小亏中亏大亏特亏亏光** (2025-08-18T09:35:50.000Z): Oh, so you still believe the market will remain strong recently, right? - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-08-18T10:02:35.000Z): Is there any clear reason for being short? - **口口声声小熊 · 2025-08-18T06:22:05.000Z · 👍 1**: He actually works in Singapore - **之星啊 · 2025-08-18T00:43:50.000Z**: Feels like buying just a few hundred shares isn't substantial enough for this kind of sharing. You'd need to go all out like the old man Buffett and blow up UNH, hahaha. - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-08-18T00:51:25.000Z): Actually, this is the reality. There is only one Buffett in the world. - **乌师傅炒股养家** (2025-08-18T01:07:02.000Z): Can retail investors compare with institutions in terms of size? - **影帝9527 · 2025-08-17T15:58:50.000Z**: Let's see if there's still a chance to add to the position tomorrow. - **不器于形 · 2025-08-17T14:20:55.000Z**: The amount he bought is too small, just a few hundred shares?😂 - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-08-17T14:31:16.000Z): Quantity is not important. The core is its allocation ratio. - **ELSE_YE** (2025-08-18T08:55:28.000Z): He holds 4500 shares... - **小博怪 · 2025-08-17T13:19:40.000Z · 👍 1**: I've been following ace on Bilibili for a while, it's really awesome. - **忌贪忌躁忌赌落袋为安 · 2025-08-17T12:22:05.000Z**: next tsl？ - **何多米的狗粮 · 2025-08-17T11:54:27.000Z · 👍 1**: I've been following ace's channel, and the analysis is indeed excellent. It has further strengthened my belief in holding RKLB for the long term.