---
title: "Gemini's liquidity forecast for Monday's MSCI China Index inclusion of XtalTech:"
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/36649723.md"
description: "According to calculations by authoritative institutions such as CICC and historical data on MSCI index adjustments, the estimated scale of passive fund purchases for **Jingtai Technology (02228.HK)** at tomorrow's (November 24, Monday) closing session is roughly as follows: Key data: Estimated purchase amount of approximately $120 million (equivalent to approximately HK$930 million). Data source: Based on the semi-annual adjustment forecast report of the MSCI China Index released by CICC. Calculation logic: Jingtai Technology has been included in the MSCI China Index this time..."
datetime: "2025-11-23T07:50:31.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/36649723.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/36649723.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/36649723.md)
author: "[老板的老板 AI Exec](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/123.md)"
---

# Gemini's liquidity forecast for Monday's MSCI China Index inclusion of XtalTech:

According to calculations by authoritative institutions such as CICC and historical data on MSCI index adjustments, the estimated scale of passive fund buying for \*\* XtalPi (02228.HK) \*\* in tomorrow's (November 24, Monday) closing session is roughly as follows:

### Key Data: Estimated Buying Amount

**Approximately $120 million (equivalent to HK$930 million)**

**Data Source**: Based on CICC's semi-annual MSCI China Index adjustment forecast report.

**Calculation Logic**: XtalPi has been included in the MSCI China Index this time, with a predicted weight of approximately **0.08% - 0.09%**. Based on the total size of passive funds tracking this index (including global ETFs and passive index funds), this weight corresponds to a mandatory allocation of approximately $120 million.

### How Significant Is This Amount? (Trading Perspective)

To give you a better sense, we can compare it with XtalPi's recent trading data:

**Equivalent to One Full Day's Turnover**:

XtalPi's average daily turnover has fluctuated significantly recently, ranging from **HK$500 million to HK$1 billion** during active periods and possibly as low as **HK$100 million to HK$300 million** during quiet periods.

This means that tomorrow, \*\* just in the last few minutes before the close (U-market session) \*\* and during the closing auction, the trading volume equivalent to **one or even two full days** will need to be completed.

**Extreme Impact**:

On a normal day, HK$930 million in buy orders spread over 5.5 hours might only lead to a moderate price increase.

But tomorrow, this money will be concentrated in the **16:00 - 16:10** window (especially the last few minutes of the closing auction) to enter the market.

**Conclusion**: If we disregard the potential selling pressure from pre-positioned profit-takers, this level of sudden buying force will typically cause the stock price to surge vertically in the closing session.

### Tomorrow's Trading Scenario Projection

Based on this calculation, you might witness the following scenario tomorrow afternoon:

**Before 15:55**: Some funds may front-run, causing price fluctuations.

**16:00 - 16:08 (Pre-Closing Auction)**: Trading volume begins to increase significantly.

**16:08 - 16:10 (Random Closing Period/U-Market)**:

This is the most critical moment. Passive funds (ETFs) **must** buy at this time to avoid tracking errors, regardless of the price.

At this point, the trading volume bar will suddenly spike to an "extreme volume" (possibly tens of millions of shares).

**Risk Warning**: This is also when "veterans" and "quant funds" offload their positions. Knowing that HK$930 million **must be bought**, they will have already placed high-priced sell orders waiting for passive funds to "take the bait."

**Summary**: Tomorrow's closing session will see approximately **HK$930 million** of "mandatory" buy orders entering the market. For holders, this is the moment of best liquidity; for short-term traders, the extreme volatility (either a sharp rally or a pullback after the surge) presents both huge opportunities and risks.

### Related Stocks

- [02228.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/02228.HK.md)
- [MSCI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSCI.US.md)

## Comments (15)

- **胡萝卜 OAO · 2025-11-23T17:46:34.000Z**: Want to know how to phrase questions to Gemini
- **曾彪 · 2025-11-23T10:55:11.000Z**: Boss, I have a question about the current and future profitability of this company.
  - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-11-24T00:58:07.000Z): All are public information, you can check the financial reports. No additional information;
- **一发入魂 · 2025-11-23T10:14:50.000Z**: Short-term traders can take risks, while long-term investors can just wait and see based on their capital situation, after all, the future growth potential is much higher now.
- **牛牛要翻倍 · 2025-11-23T09:39:10.000Z**: Boss, should we set a stop loss for the small rocket?
- **我的小钱钱 · 2025-11-23T08:53:36.000Z**: Now I get scared whenever I hear good news, it's all just people dumping stocks on good news, I'm really afraid of the drops🙈
  - **诺大懿** (2025-11-24T01:43:31.000Z): This guy always sells on good news, today it's a small-cap sell-off to mid-cap
- **曾彪 · 2025-11-23T08:34:00.000Z**: Boss, can this stock return to 12?
  - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-11-23T08:57:02.000Z): I have high hopes for it.
  - **曾彪** (2025-11-23T09:07:53.000Z): If MM really wants to sell, they should sell at a higher price
  - **曾彪** (2025-11-23T09:34:15.000Z): If it really reaches 12 tomorrow, I'll kowtow to the big shots
- **阿二每天都要开心呀 · 2025-11-23T08:19:03.000Z**: Is that so
- **bojackwomo · 2025-11-23T07:56:45.000Z**: Even a 50% increase is only 14🌚
  - **老板的老板 AI Exec** (2025-11-23T07:59:44.000Z): You can try warrants with such high short-term volatility. But the risk is huge.