--- title: "πŸ›‘οΈ ETH Weekly Outlook: Beware of \"Painting the Door\"! Institutions Are Setting Up a \"Liquidity Trap\" (Feb 09-Feb 15)" description: ""In a market of stock game with a lack of incremental funds, beautiful K-lines are often disguises for traps. The main theme this week is not 'breakthrough', but 'hunting'." πŸ“Š Market Overview" type: "topic" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38591543.md" published_at: "2026-02-08T15:15:46.000Z" author: "[δΈ‰ιΉΏε₯Άη²‰](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/18038012)" --- # πŸ›‘οΈ ETH Weekly Outlook: Beware of "Painting the Door"! Institutions Are Setting Up a "Liquidity Trap" (Feb 09-Feb 15) > **"In a market of stock game with a lack of incremental funds, beautiful candlestick charts are often a disguise for traps. The main theme this week is not 'breakout', but 'hunting'."** πŸ“Š **Market Context** $ETH/USD(ETHUSD.HAS)Β has recently appeared to stabilize around 2100, but on-chain data suggests a subtle shift in the **Whales**' chip distribution. Although the TPS of the L2 ecosystem has repeatedly hit new highs, this has not directly translated into deflationary burning on the ETH mainnet. Instead, due to low Gas fees, inflation has returned. Coupled with recent turbulence in the US tech sector (Beta coefficient decoupling), ETH is losing its momentum for independent price action. This week's technical structure is very special: **Although there is a bottom divergence in indicators (RSI Divergence), the order block above is thick.** In this pattern, major players are highly likely to use 'news' to create volatility for two-way harvesting. ## πŸŒͺ️ Core Script: The Liquidity Hunt This week is highly likely to exhibit **High Volatility** characteristics. Market Makers (MM) seem to be deliberately 'painting the chart', creating a false breakout illusion to lure retail investors in, then conducting reverse 'scalping'. ### πŸ—“οΈ Key Time Windows πŸ”΄ **Monday/Tuesday (Feb 09-10): The Fakeout** - **Technical Preview**: The opening of the week may be accompanied by a **'volume surge move'**. Note, this is likely the major players testing the selling pressure in the 2150-2200 range above. - **Risk Alert**: Don't be deceived by the bullish candlestick at the start of the week. As long as it cannot hold above MA20 with volume, all rallies are to **fill the CME gap** or are a \*\*Bull Trap\*\*. - **Strategy**: **Sell on rallies**. If a long upper shadow appears after a surge and fall, it's a signal to go short on the right side. πŸ’₯ **Wednesday (Feb 11): The Pivot** - **Technical Preview**: The most complex node of the week. Expect **sudden headline news (Headline Risk)** to disrupt the market, possibly leading to **Bart Simpson Pattern** price action (sharp up and down wicks). This is to wash out high-leverage contract positions. - **Strategy**: **Absolutely no chasing orders**. The candlestick for this day has very low reference value. It's recommended to stay in cash and observe, waiting for the daily close to confirm the direction. 🟒 **Weekend (Feb 14-15): The Reversal?** - **Technical Preview**: After a week of washing out, selling pressure is expected to exhaust over the weekend. If there is a sharp drop in the first half of the week, there is a high probability of a **'golden pit'** forming on Sunday. - **Strategy**: Focus on the **Sunday (Feb 15)** market. If the price retests the previous low (e.g., around 1900) without breaking it, and a 1H bottom pattern appears, it can be considered the best trading point of the week. ## βš”οΈ Tactical Playbook ### πŸ“‰ Scenario A: Aggressive Short - **Logic**: If ETH breaks below the **2000 level** again with a weak bounce. - **Action**: Go short with the trend, targeting the **1800-1750** liquidity void. - **Stop Loss**: Unconditionally exit if price reclaims above 2050. ### πŸ›‘οΈ Scenario B: Contrarian Long - **⚠️ High-Risk Warning**: This strategy belongs to \*\*Counter-Trend\*\* trading, only for light positions (<5% position). - **Logic**: Utilize the potential panic selling (Capitulation) over the weekend. - **Entry Zone**: If there's a sharp drop with a wick down to the **1880-1920** range, you can try placing limit orders to 'catch a falling knife'. - **Risk Control**: This is betting on an 'oversold bounce' at this level. If it effectively breaks below 1850, stop loss immediately, don't hold! ## πŸ’‘ Final Thoughts This week's candlesticks will be very 'flashy', seemingly full of opportunities, but actually full of hidden reefs. - **For longs**: Patience is the highest virtue. Don't waste your bullets on the early-week bull trap, save your cash for the panic moment over the weekend. - **For shorts**: Rallies before Wednesday are a gift from God, but remember to take profits in time, because 'liquidity hunts' often mean a V-shaped reversal is coming soon. > "Successful trading is about waiting for the trade to come to you, not chasing it." > Stay calm, protect your capital. Good Luck. πŸ€ ### Related Stocks - [CME.US - CME](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/CME.US.md) --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.