---
title: "📊 Meituan-W (3690.HK): The 'Spring Effect' in the Deep Zone Has Begun, Key Battle Node Between Bulls and Bears Revealed!"
description: ""Don't catch a falling knife when selling pressure is at its peak, but seize the chips when panic selling is exhausted." —— Hidden Element Quantitative Strategy Group🛠️ I. Current Situation S"
type: "topic"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38602382.md"
published_at: "2026-02-09T08:49:53.000Z"
author: "[三鹿奶粉](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/18038012)"
comments_count: 3
---

# 📊 Meituan-W (3690.HK): The 'Spring Effect' in the Deep Zone Has Begun, Key Battle Node Between Bulls and Bears Revealed!

**"Don't catch a falling knife when selling pressure is at its peak, but do take the chips when panic selling is exhausted."** —— Yinyuan Quantitative Strategy Group

#### 🛠️ I. Current Situation Scan: Extreme Negative Divergence and Kinetic Suppression

Currently, $MEITUAN(03690.HK) has formed an extremely rare **negative divergence pattern** on the daily chart.

-   **Indicator Resonance**: The daily RSI6 has plunged to the extreme oversold zone near **24.5**, with the MACD green histogram at the end of its expansion phase.
-   **Structural Analogy**: The stock price is now like a ball violently pushed underwater. The bearish force (selling pressure) is still pressing down hard, but the **rebound potential energy** inside the ball is accumulating exponentially.
-   **Resistance Definition**: The MA20 (96.95) above forms a strong magnetic field suppression, but before touching this field, the market needs a "deep squat and jump" action.

#### ⏱️ II. This Week's "First Suppress, Then Rise" Rhythm Forecast (Core Time Window)

We break down this week's game rhythm into four stages: **"Luring Shorts, Grinding Bottom, Breaking Through, Climax"**:

1.  **Monday to Tuesday: \[Inertial Plunge and Panic Release\]** 📉  
    Bearish momentum still has remnants, and the market will retreat by inertia. Especially on **Tuesday (February 10)**, expect rapid intraday plunges, even breaking through the 90 HKD psychological barrier, creating a false breakdown.

-   Technical Logic: This is to force out the last trapped chips (panic selling release).

1.  **Wednesday: \[Chip Turnover and Stabilization of Center of Gravity\]** ↔️  
    Volatility begins to converge. The K-line is highly likely to close as a doji or small positive line, confirming the effectiveness of bottom support.
2.  **Thursday to Friday: \[Momentum Shift and Violent Gap Filling\]** 🚀  
    This is the week's **"Breakthrough Moment"**. With short-term liquidity injection, bullish momentum will officially take over the battlefield.

-   **Decisive Node**: **Friday (February 13)**. If the pit dug at the beginning of the week is deep enough, Friday will see a restorative medium-to-long positive line, directly challenging the gap pressure above.

#### 🏹 III. Four-Dimensional Practical Strategy (Including Left-Side Risk Warning)

**1️⃣ Left-Side Ambush Faction (Gambling on Oversold Bounce)**

-   **Entry Position**: **88.5 - 90.0 HKD** range.
-   **⚠️ Risk Warning**: Left-side trading is counter-trend gambling, carrying the risk of continued decline!
-   **Position Control**: Recommend base position controlled within **30%**, with a strict stop-loss set at **87.5** (exit immediately upon break).

**2️⃣ Right-Side Follow Faction (Entering After Trend Confirmation)**

-   **Entry Point**: Breakout with volume above **93.5 HKD** (1-hour chart trendline breakout).
-   **Target**: First look at **96.5** (moving average pressure), ultimate target **99.0**.

**3️⃣ Scalping Tactic (Intraday Grid)**

-   Utilize 15-minute K-line bottom divergence, buy low near 90.5, close position near 92.5, fast in and out, no lingering.

#### 💡 Yinyuan Strategy Review Summary

The current sell-off is more like a "tactical clearing" before the bulls' counterattack. **The low on Tuesday is highly likely to be this month's golden pit.** Remember, in oversold markets, the most dangerous moment is often also the moment with the most attractive risk-reward ratio.

**Key Level Review:**  
📍 Strong Support: 88.5 - 89.0  
📍 Strong Resistance: 96.5 - 97.2

> **Strategy Note**: This analysis is based on quantitative kinetic model projections. The market changes rapidly; please be sure to conduct secondary confirmation based on real-time volume signals. Investing involves risks; profits and losses are your own responsibility.

### Related Stocks

- [03690.HK - MEITUAN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03690.HK.md)
- [MPNGY.US - Meituan](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MPNGY.US.md)
- [83690.HK - MEITUAN-WR](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/83690.HK.md)
- [HMTD.SG - Meituan HK SDR 5to1](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/HMTD.SG.md)

## Comments (3)

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**Judy640** ·  · 👍 1

😂My cost is 99, so I should definitely sell at 109 next time?

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**三鹿奶粉** · 

@佳晴Ai Check the release time.

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**菜花花花** · 

It hit a low point today, Tuesday.

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> **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.