--- title: "BMNR Extreme Value Deduction 02.10" type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38632978.md" description: "Over the past week, BTC rebounded after hitting a bottom at 60k and ETH at 1.7k. In the absence of other negative factors, this can be considered a stage bottom. Although still in a bear market, there are some positive macro news. This Tuesday, the White House will hold its second mediation within two months to help banks and crypto reach a consensus on the legislation of the Clear Act as soon as possible. Recently, Bessent also publicly spoke out, directly pointing at Coinbase, calling its CEO recalcitrant actors hindering the passage of the bill..." datetime: "2026-02-10T13:07:18.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38632978.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/38632978.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/38632978.md) author: "[lyhalfway](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/3372973.md)" --- > Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/38632978.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/38632978.md) # BMNR Extreme Value Deduction 02.10 Over the past week, BTC rebounded after touching bottom at $60k and ETH at $1.7k, which, in the absence of other negative catalysts, can be considered a stage bottom. Although still in a bear market, there are some positive macro developments. This Tuesday, the White House will hold its second mediation session within February to help banks and the crypto industry reach a consensus as soon as possible on the legislation of the Clarity Act. Recently, Besant also publicly spoke out, directly targeting Coinbase, calling its CEO a recalcitrant actor hindering the passage of the bill, and stated that the Clarity Act is a key agenda item for Trump's crypto push. The White House's mediation also represents the strongest regulatory signal; let's see if there will be any substantive progress this month. Starting from this year's Davos Forum, the main narratives surrounding crypto have been stablecoins and tokenization, but these two narratives are actually not closely related to BTC and are more tied to ETH. Currently, ETH/BTC has fallen to 0.029, hitting a low for the past six months. As these two mainstream narratives advance, I am looking forward to ETH/BTC rebounding to the 0.04～0.05 range, which is also the core reason why I believe ETH will outperform BTC. Beyond the regulatory front, MrBeast's acquisition of Step, officially entering the savings, credit, and trading business for minors aged 13-18, is also a landmark event. I've discussed this in this post as well  Each generation has its own wallet. The intergenerational transfer of financial accounts lies in becoming the traffic gateway for a generation. Tom Lee has a macro analysis background and focuses more on medium-to-long-term trends, including demographic shifts. I think this is also the main reason for BMNR's investment in MrBeast, because Beast represents the traffic and trust gateway for the new generation of youth. This Monday, BMNR updated its coin accumulation progress, holding 4.32 million coins, with a weekly increase of 40k last week; cash position is $595 million. There were no new staking additions, staking amount remains at 2.89 million (67% of total coin holdings), staking yield increased to 3.11%, and mNAV recovered to 1.02. Analysis of the cash position changes indicates that BMNR utilized the brief window where mNAV\>1 last week for ATM financing. Currently, market sentiment is weak. MSTR and BMNR are the only steadfast buyers for BTC and ETH respectively. Maintaining a weekly DCA of 40k is also crucial for ETH's market sentiment. This Friday is the deadline for institutional 13F filings; tracking of changes in institutional holdings of BMNR will be updated next week. Currently, mNAV is stable around 1, moving proportionally with ETH. ETH's trend is BMNR's trend. If there is no major shift in market sentiment, mNAV is unlikely to experience significant volatility. Therefore, I'm temporarily pausing the projection of extreme value ranges and just lying flat, following ETH's fluctuations$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)  Not investment advice. ### Related Stocks - [Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/COIN.US.md) - [Strategy Inc (MSTR.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSTR.US.md) - [Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BTC.US.md) - [Grayscale Ethereum Mini Staking ETF (ETH.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ETH.US.md) - [STEP (002527.CN)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/002527.CN.md) - [StepStone Group Inc. (STEP.US)](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/STEP.US.md) - [Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. 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Trump hasn't stirred up trouble yet, so I don't even have the desire to act 😤 - **温哥华的小雨 · 2026-02-10T14:04:02.000Z · 👍 4**: I've staked all my ETH on-chain and won't touch it until it hits 4000, hahahahaha - **lyhalfway** (2026-02-10T14:05:04.000Z): Haha, staking on-chain still requires a long queue now. - **豐川祥子的交易员 · 2026-02-10T14:02:19.000Z**: It's at a low point, let's get some! - **dylan_hu · 2026-02-10T13:59:24.000Z · 👍 1**: Thank you, Yaren Shu👍 - **伏明渡日 · 2026-02-10T13:51:34.000Z**: Perhaps exchanges like Coin still retain interest, just reducing it a bit, otherwise it would really be over. - **lyhalfway** (2026-02-10T13:59:30.000Z): Or let coin comply with banking regulatory requirements, adding deposits and other things. - **风风 · 2026-02-10T13:11:38.000Z · 👍 2**: Thank you, Yaren Uncle 😄