--- title: "โšก๏ธ Xiaomi Group | Review: A deep squat โ€“ for a jump or to lie flat?" description: "๐Ÿ“‰ First, I admit my mistake: In yesterday's analysis of $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK), I overemphasized the smoothness of a one-sided offensive, predicting Thursday would see consecutive positive days forcing " type: "topic" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38686808.md" published_at: "2026-02-12T08:15:14.000Z" author: "[ไธ‰้นฟๅฅถ็ฒ‰](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/18038012)" --- # โšก๏ธ Xiaomi Group | Review: A deep squat โ€“ for a jump or to lie flat? ๐Ÿ“‰ **First, I admit my mistake**: In yesterday's analysis of $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK), I overly emphasized the smoothness of a one-sided attack, predicting Thursday would see consecutive bullish days forcing a short squeeze. But the market is always the best teacherโ€”today, the main force wasn't eager to attack upwards, but instead chose a whole day of **"grinding volatility"**, finally closing with a small bearish candlestick (36.58). My apologies to all friends who went long and had their mentality worn down. ๐Ÿ™‡โ€โ™‚๏ธ But! However! Looking at the data without emotion, this bearish candlestick is not ugly at all; on the contrary, it's **"sexy"** to an excessive degree. It's like after a 100-meter sprint (Wednesday's big surge), the athlete needs a deep breath (Thursday's pullback). ๐Ÿ‘‰ **Hardcore Breakdown: Why do I call this a "fake fall"?** 1๏ธโƒฃ **Textbook Volume-Price Divergence (Volume Dry-up)** ๐Ÿงฑ Wednesday's breakout bullish candlestick traded 223 million shares, while today's decline saw volume shrink to 143 million (a 36% contraction). **Key point**: Rising on high volume, falling on low volume. This means the main capital hasn't left at all; those who left were retail chips due to panic or profit-taking. This is the most standard **"healthy washout"**. 2๏ธโƒฃ **Golden Defense Line Test (The Iron Floor)** ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Remember the lifeline I've repeatedly emphasized? The **36.20 - 36.36** zone. Today's low point precisely hit **36.30** and instantly bounced back. This shows that at this level, the bulls have set up dense "bunker" defenses. As long as this level holds, the bullish structure remains intact. 3๏ธโƒฃ **Indicator's "Physical Cooling"** โ„๏ธ Looking at the 15-minute K-chart, the RSI, which was in an "overheated" state above 80+ yesterday, has perfectly retreated to a comfortable zone near **39** through today's sideways decline. This is like compressing a spring, creating space for an upward bounce. ๐Ÿ”ฎ **Scenario Projection: Friday Showdown (The Finale)** Based on technical fractal structure projection, **this week's volatility will peak on Friday**. If Wednesday was the "ignition" and Thursday was the "power accumulation," then **Friday (tomorrow) is highly likely to be the "release."** Since it can't be pushed down (low volume + effective support), the path of least resistance can only beโ€”**an upward engulfing reversal**. ๐Ÿ—“ **Key Node Forecast**: - **Morning**: There's a probability of one last wave of inertial downward probing, which would be a golden pit for "left-side hunters." - **Midday Session (11:00-13:00)**: Focus on this time window. The bulls and bears will likely decide the winner here, initiating a one-sided trend. ๐Ÿน **Trading Manual (Action Plan)** โš ๏ธ **Left-Side Trading Risk Warning**: Catching the falling knife on the left side is a high-risk operation. Please strictly control your position size (suggested no more than 30%) and adhere to discipline. - **๐Ÿ›’ Ambush Zone**: If the opening dips to the **36.40 - 36.50** range, it's an excellent risk-reward point for aggressive players to bet on a reversal engulfing. - **๐ŸŽฏ Target Level**: First target is to engulf today's bearish candlestick. The core target points directly to the **38.00** level. - **๐Ÿ›‘ Stop-Loss Red Line**: **36.20**. - (Iron Rule: If tomorrow's closing price falls below 36.20, it means the trend is invalidated. Exit unconditionally, admit the loss, and don't hold onto illusions.) **In a nutshell**: Don't be scared out of your wits by today's red (green) session. As long as the floor (36.30) holds, we'll see you at the peak (38.00)! ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ ### Related Stocks - [01810.HK - XIAOMI-W](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/01810.HK.md) - [XIACY.US - Xiaomi Corporation](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/XIACY.US.md) - [81810.HK - XIAOMI-WR](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/81810.HK.md) - [HXXD.SG - Xiaomi HK SDR 2to1](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/HXXD.SG.md) --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.