--- title: "Extremely High Debt Environment (Fiscal Dominance)• Assumption: Government debt soars to 50,000 yuan" description: "Extremely High Debt Environment (Fiscal Dominance)• Assumption: Government debt soars to 50,000 yuan, while corporate borrowing capacity remains unchanged.• Operation: Interest rates are lowered.• Res" type: "topic" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38794527.md" published_at: "2026-02-20T03:09:35.000Z" author: "[Fiin](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/16692875)" --- # Extremely High Debt Environment (Fiscal Dominance)• Assumption: Government debt soars to 50,000 yuan Extremely High Debt Environment (Fiscal Dominance) • Assumption: Government debt soars to 50,000 yuan, while corporate borrowing capacity remains unchanged. • Operation: Interest rates are lowered. • Result: \* Due to the massive scale of government debt, the rate cut causes depositors to lose 5,000 yuan in interest income (a huge liquidity drain). • Corporations still only increase borrowing by 2,000 yuan. • Net impact: -5000 + 2000 = -3000 yuan. Conclusion: The rate cut actually leads to economic contraction. When government debt reaches a certain level, the interest payments themselves become the "lifeline" for maintaining economic liquidity. In this situation: • Rate hike: While it increases corporate costs, the high interest payments made by the government inject a large amount of funds into society, potentially stimulating consumption and inflation. • Rate cut: While it reduces the burden on corporations, by cutting off the large-scale interest transfers from the government to the private sector, it may actually lead to less money in the market, triggering economic shrinkage. $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) ### Related Stocks - [NVDA.US - NVIDIA](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDA.US.md) - [SQQQ.US - Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SQQQ.US.md) - [PSQ.US - ProShares Shrt QQQ](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/PSQ.US.md) --- > **Disclaimer**: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.