---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/3903624.md"
description: "这些观点我本人也说过无数次了，其实都是常识，稍微看数据思考一下就都能知道，但无奈，大家都只争朝夕。另外补充一下，除了新生儿减少，还要考虑老龄化带来的死亡人数增加，也会大幅增加二手房的供给。最后继续长期看多中国国债（利率趋于 0，国债必长牛）。"
datetime: "2023-01-30T09:42:34.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/3903624.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/3903624.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/3903624.md)
author: "[价值at风险](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/3114116.md)"
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# 这些观点我本人也说过无数次了，其实都是常识，稍微看数据思考一下就都能知道，但无奈，大家都只争朝夕。另…


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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**