---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39350820.md"
description: "The dot plot shows 1 interest rate cut in 2026.The median unchanged but the long-term rate raised from 3.0% to 3.1%.It might be more difficult to cut rates in June.The probability is higher in September.Previously thought it should be 2 cuts; this speech is very hawkish.The second half of the year is still far away, let's wait and see.April's FOMC will be clearer.The Iran situation should also be over.Raising the long-term rate to 3.1% is bearish and puts pressure on gold and silver.When the price is pushed down, it's an opportunity to find a good entry point.CME data for April gold and May silver both indicate there will be significant volatility."
datetime: "2026-03-18T20:20:11.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39350820.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39350820.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39350820.md)
author: "[上山喝茶r](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/14864854.md)"
---

# The dot plot shows 1 interest rate cut in 2026.The…


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