---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39354825.md"
description: "Mentioning the possibility of a rate hike, a summary of the latest Fed meeting.Powell said he hasn't completely ruled out the possibility of a rate hikeLet me summarize a few key points from the latest Fed meeting for everyone,First, the absence of a rate cut was within expectations,Then Powell spokeFirst, he said if inflation can't come down, there won't be further rate cuts, and the possibility of a hike was mentioned, but most people don't think this was expected, so the likelihood isn't high right now,Second, it's hard to judge whether the surge in oil prices will drive inflation.Third, domestic inflation in the US is slightly high, but risks in the job market also exist simultaneously.Then, regarding market concerns about whether he will leave after his term as Chairman ends in May, he said two things:1. If his judicial investigation isn't over, he won't step down.2. If Warsh's nomination is delayed, he will continue as Fed Chairman.I mentioned this point in my previous post, for reasons you can check my previous post.Finally, the dot plot. The Fed's latest expectation is one rate cut in '26, then another in '27. But this dot plot is based on current inflation and employment expectations, not very meaningful. Even Powell said their latest forecasts now are like guessing blindly because of the uncertainty from the war; they simply can't predict what will happen in the future.Alright, the whole meeting was neutral-hawkish. We could also see the whole market was falling while Powell was speaking.Now let's focus on oil prices, see when they can stabilize. If they can drop to 90 or even below 80, that would be a big positive for the market.$Circle(CRCL.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US)$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)"
datetime: "2026-03-19T01:38:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39354825.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39354825.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39354825.md)
author: "[纳斯达克战士](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/12201158.md)"
---

# Mentioning the possibility of a rate hike, a summa…


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## Comments (5)

- **旁路 · 2026-03-19T04:15:42.000Z**: Even if the war doesn't end in the short term, it's not much of a problem. People will get used to it over time. The Russia-Ukraine war has been going on for so long, and the excitement has long since passed.
  - **纳斯达克战士** (2026-03-19T04:19:13.000Z): This time, the oil price is crazier than before.
  - **旁路** (2026-03-19T04:21:55.000Z): Given time, it will always be resolved.
- **任我行. · 2026-03-19T03:01:38.000Z**: The whole world is watching the US and Iran, if the war doesn't end, it's destruction.
- **Erstwhile · 2026-03-19T01:47:36.000Z**: The Federal Reserve has no bottom line on the war, uncertain whether it's a short-term or long-term impact. Internal troubles and external threats, indeed.