---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39446178.md"
description: "【260323】Patient waiting, every day is filled with opportunities. It seems we've missed some opportunities, but operating in moments of high uncertainty is prone to mistakes.For example,$Us Brent Oil(BNO.US) still has room to rise, but blindly betting on an increase carries high risk. If you get stuck, you might have to wait years to break even. Look at the historical K-line of crude oil and you'll know that without the actual blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, it would be impossible to reach today's price. The current price is only second to the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war.$DHT(DHT.US) If you don't mind being stuck for 3 months, this stock can still be entered boldly. Because the sea oil routes are open, it will continue to fall to 14; it's only a matter of time.$Direxion FTSE China Bear 3X(YANG.US) When the war ends, the Hong Kong index will have a rebound, and it will fall. How far it falls is unknown, but in the long run, rising to 40 is an inevitable result.$Pro Ultrshrt Silver(ZSL.US) Silver is currently in a downtrend, and its rise was driven by interest rate cut expectations. But now Wall Street has given up betting on rate cuts; Europe, the US, and Japan are likely to start a wave of rate hikes. Silver will fall. It's okay to enter at this point, but it will be volatile. In the long run, multiplying several times is inevitable, but it takes time. This is also a variety I focus on and wait for the right time to participate in.$Sandisk(SNDK.US) Don't participate in this security now. Neither going long nor short is very suitable. The emotional volatility of sharp rises and falls, and the uncertainty, will add psychological burden. Especially going long, I think its risk outweighs the reward; even if you time it right, the profit is very limited. Even going short, you've missed the best entry point around 730 at the current juncture. From another perspective, assuming it can rise from 700 to 800, your profit is only 25%. When the tide recedes, you might bear the risk of a halving. This is also why I've been shorting it. I can even assert that it will fall to 200 in less than a year. This is not alarmist; it's determined by the characteristics of a cyclical stock. But there's a contradiction here: if you hold a short position long-term at 730 and the stock price eventually reaches 200, your maximum profit is only 70%. Clearly, this business is too slow. So you can only hold it in waves.What we need to do now is wait for the arrival of the key juncture, hit with one strike, and seize the opportunity for multiple profits.No need to rush. For those who are prepared, a single slip can lead to striking gold.@穩穩的幸福2008"
datetime: "2026-03-23T10:38:28.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39446178.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39446178.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39446178.md)
author: "[欧阳大叔（笑话版）](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/12946194.md)"
---

# 【260323】Patient waiting, every day is filled with …


### Related Stocks

- [DHT.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/DHT.US.md)
- [ZSL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ZSL.US.md)
- [YANG.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/YANG.US.md)
- [SNDK.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SNDK.US.md)
- [BNO.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BNO.US.md)

## Comments (20)

- **旧用户_fafa · 2026-04-28T19:12:01.000Z**: SanDisk has broken through 1,000, that's scary.
- **sushaoxin · 2026-03-23T12:42:54.000Z**: It's definitely been a roller coaster ride lately. After the uncle posted last time, I closed my long position and went short at 31, then bought back to go long at 33.8. Last week, seeing the situation wasn't right, I cleared out at 34.5. Of course, I originally thought about buying back to short at
  - **欧阳大叔（笑话版）** (2026-03-23T14:36:04.000Z): You have to trust the uncle's judgment about the future. I think I can see the essence even more clearly.
  - **sushaoxin** (2026-03-23T14:46:40.000Z): Absolutely 😁😁
- **心若春山在 · 2026-03-23T12:17:35.000Z**: I really hope it's as the uncle said. Silver has already made me doubt my life. I thought 70 was the lowest before, but I just saw 58. Deeply trapped.
  - **欧阳大叔（笑话版）** (2026-03-23T13:01:18.000Z): Silver is still bearish in the long term.
  - **心若春山在** (2026-03-23T13:25:49.000Z): Long-term bearish? Then there's no point in holding onto my position. Heavy position, deeply trapped, sigh.
  - **每日一波段** (2026-03-23T14:17:14.000Z): Slowly average down and wait for the situation to warm up and rebound.
- **所思 · 2026-03-23T10:51:39.000Z**: Is there a chance for SanDisk to rebound tonight? I was greedy for not selling at 780.
  - **欧阳大叔（笑话版）** (2026-03-23T11:06:08.000Z): I don't know about this, what's your cost?
  - **欧阳大叔（笑话版）** (2026-03-23T11:10:03.000Z): It's 7:30, if you've made money, you can take profits and leave.
  - **所思** (2026-03-23T11:12:29.000Z): 480
- **西瓜moko · 2026-03-23T10:44:37.000Z**: TSLL at 11.8NVDL at 73.5SPY at 644Got a bad feeling there might be a flash crash tonight... Any trading suggestions, uncle?
  - **欧阳大叔（笑话版）** (2026-03-23T10:49:31.000Z): I can only tell you one key point: under the current uncertainty of war, holding a short position is the most rational. However, shorting some stocks that have hit new highs is also a good choice, esp
  - **稳稳的幸福2008** (2026-03-23T11:17:48.000Z): What happened? Yang suddenly reversed.
