---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39564379.md"
description: "Based on his past few times, he always changed his mind when the 10-year Treasury yield surged to around 4.5%. That is to say, when it reaches this level, it might be the bottom. Once this level is broken and he hasn't declared a total victory, then the most pessimistic economic crisis scenario will play out. That's my current understanding. 🤔"
datetime: "2026-03-27T02:19:59.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39564379.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39564379.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39564379.md)
author: "[京城Z先生](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/9198235.md)"
---

> Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39564379.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39564379.md)


# Based on his past few times, he always changed his…


## Comments (24)

- **davidzdf · 2026-03-27T09:48:55.000Z**: 4.463 now
- **Jack www · 2026-03-27T08:20:45.000Z**: Liquidating is so troublesome, mindlessly buying QQQ on dips won't trap me, will it?
  - **Jack www** (2026-03-27T08:21:30.000Z): 🤔Purely as a substitute for the savings function
- **一发入魂 · 2026-03-27T03:17:52.000Z · 👍 3**: I think Trump's pain indicator has broken and hasn't come back yet, so it's really time to clear out all positions in one go🤪 brutal
- **赵哥小迷弟 · 2026-03-27T03:15:24.000Z · 👍 1**: I think the current situation is like a person running, whose belt loosens while running. They pull up their pants, run for a while, and when they really don't want to pull them up anymore, they just take off their pants and start running naked.
  - **AlphaG** (2026-03-27T03:44:10.000Z): Isn't it uncomfortable to run while swaying left and right like that? You'll still have to find pants to put on in the end.
  - **嘿嘿^** (2026-03-27T06:01:23.000Z): Stuffed in the underwear🤣Wearing an extra pair of pants works too🙈
  - **拜登的交易员エウベル** (2026-03-27T06:09:27.000Z): What if it's short and sharp but can't be shaken off? 🤡
- **Doge839 · 2026-03-27T03:04:53.000Z**: Z bro has seen through it
- **Jack www · 2026-03-27T02:58:19.000Z**: Is he Quant Te?
- **哇为用户 · 2026-03-27T02:33:56.000Z**: Trump is now being held hostage by the internal situation; it's hard for him to extricate himself.
- **新用戶_dVTLAA · 2026-03-27T02:32:25.000Z**: The market reacts the fastest. If the tragedy script plays out, no one can escape except those who shorted in advance.
- **元首交易员镗缸仔之父 · 2026-03-27T02:29:31.000Z · 👍 1**: us10y 4.415 now
  - **京城Z先生** (2026-03-27T02:34:02.000Z): So it's now, maybe we'll have the answer this weekend.
  - **海鸥子** (2026-03-27T02:45:43.000Z): Where can I see this indicator?
  - **元首交易员镗缸仔之父** (2026-03-27T05:33:19.000Z): It's the one who was ranting about US debt issues last year. Let's see how it performs over the weekend.
- **旺旺勇闯美股 · 2026-03-27T02:26:19.000Z**: Sir, that's a brilliant insight.
- **Kevin-S · 2026-03-27T02:24:19.000Z · 👍 3**: Sir's insight is spot on, same as what I thought. If the 10-year Treasury yield breaks through 4.5 and doesn't 'taco', or if it 'tacos' but can't recover, the outlook for the market won't be optimistic.🙂‍↕️
  - **京城Z先生** (2026-03-27T02:35:07.000Z): At least A-shares were very strong today, there are still many people who believe it won't work out.
  - **Kevin-S** (2026-03-27T02:37:42.000Z): This matter has been turned into a Rashomon by the blonde guy; no one knows what really happened except him 🤣
  - **chamber** (2026-03-27T02:48:55.000Z): But why is the A-share market so strong today? I'm a bit confused.
- **海阔天峰 · 2026-03-27T02:23:35.000Z**: Hard logic support