---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39687372.md"
description: "Three Core Risks to Be Vigilant About in the Short Term1. Profit-taking pressure after the good news runs out: On April 1st, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged over 1100 points in a single day, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also rising sharply. A large amount of short-term capital has already accumulated substantial profits. If Trump's speech does not bring unexpected progress in peace talks, the non-farm payroll data meets expectations, and there are no new positive catalysts, the market is likely to see short-term profit-taking, leading to a short-term pullback within 5%.2. Risk of amplified volatility from the non-farm payroll data: As the US stock market is closed on the day the non-farm payroll data is released, all long-short battles will be concentrated at Monday's opening. If the data significantly deviates from expectations, it will cause the US stock market to gap significantly higher or lower at the open, with volatility being significantly amplified, greatly increasing short-term trading risks.3. Recurring uncertainty in the Middle East situation: Trump's policy statements have always been highly uncertain, and Iran has not yet officially confirmed all the details of the temporary ceasefire agreement. If Iran subsequently refuses inspections, takes countermeasures, or if Trump reneges on the ceasefire arrangement, geopolitical risks will quickly escalate, putting renewed pressure on US stocks to pull back."
datetime: "2026-04-02T02:16:15.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39687372.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39687372.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39687372.md)
author: "[市场描边大师](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/16143549.md)"
---

# Three Core Risks to Be Vigilant About in the Short…


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