---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39715414.md"
description: "The market gives Trump's claim of de-escalation a credibility score of five, but only two for escalation. This is quite dangerous and also indirectly loses the opportunity to pressure Trump towards peace through financial voting. I don't believe in de-escalation; I believe in escalation, because the facts of military movements align with it, and the severe conflict between the core demands of both sides is highly likely to require further escalation to resolve."
datetime: "2026-04-03T03:24:15.000Z"
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  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39715414.md)
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author: "[不做咸鱼的小明](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/73.md)"
---

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# The market gives Trump's claim of de-escalation a …


## Comments (2)

- **Erstwhile · 2026-04-03T09:38:07.000Z · 👍 1**: For the past month, they haven't followed the playbook of a head-on confrontation. A normal full-scale assault would involve cutting off water, electricity, and the internet, bombing roads, bridges, and tunnels, and using fire, explosives, and chemical agents. They'd wait until the target was suffoc
- **Jeff蜜桃猫的交易员 · 2026-04-03T09:21:51.000Z · 👍 2**: It's highly likely there will be a fight; that many troops aren't just going on a tour, are they?