---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39719842.md"
description: "It's indeed somewhat unexpected, showing the strength of the U.S. economy. It seems the penetration rate of AI in U.S. industries may not be as high as we imagined, and the impact on the job market is still limited. Affected by the news, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rose by 0.83%, and the U.S. Dollar Index increased by 0.16%. Therefore, it was still necessary to position UUP as a hedge earlier. TMV, which shorts U.S. bonds, suffers from time decay due to leverage, making it less favorable compared to UUP, which can be used for negative correlation hedging according to the Markowitz risk parity model. As for future interest rate hikes or cuts, it's also uncertain based on this employment situation. However, since U.S. President Donald Trump has already used his speech to advocate "long crude oil, short Nasdaq," if this data is bearish for the stock market, it would also be an opportunity to "not cut interest rates" and align bearishly with his speech. But later, it will inevitably reverse. The next opportunity for "long Nasdaq" might arise during a decline, and we still need to wait for Trump's "winning big" rhetoric. Additionally, USO has currently reached a high of 140.00. This kind of precise level could be a stage extreme value, and it feels like some derivative knowledge is being applied. If it is an extreme value, an inflection point is likely to appear, and we can observe the market direction."
datetime: "2026-04-03T21:51:58.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39719842.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39719842.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39719842.md)
author: "[新用戶_dLcvRX](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/22978229.md)"
---

> Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39719842.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39719842.md)


# It's indeed somewhat unexpected, showing the stren…


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