---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39737003.md"
description: "Got tricked again yesterday. I found that even the experience from reviewing past trades might not be put into action. Yesterday, under the significant influence of external factors (gold up, dollar down, crude oil down, Nasdaq futures up, Bitcoin taking off) and the mediation of the "ceasefire agreement," I once again thought there could be expectations. Bets on a ceasefire by April 7th on Polymarket rose from 1% to 15%. Even though it didn't reach 50%, I was afraid of being late and missing out, because I feel that in this war some people want to fight, and some want to stop, which is also a huge contradiction. In the end, it was still a day of sideways movement, killing options."
datetime: "2026-04-07T02:32:51.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39737003.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39737003.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39737003.md)
author: "[新用戶_dLcvRX](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/22978229.md)"
---

> Supported Languages: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39737003.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39737003.md)


# Got tricked again yesterday. I found that even the…