---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40158550.md"
description: "If you really have enough principal, you don't need to speculate in stocks. The doubling-down method's win rate seems to approach 100% infinitely, but the odds also approach 1.00000 infinitely.Betting 9 times to lose and win on the 10th, without any fees/commissions, is essentially using 1023 to win 1024, making the odds meaningless, not to mention casinos also have commissions, waiter tips, etc.I don't believe gambling alone can lead to consistent long-term wins, and "enough" principal is meaningless in this context."
datetime: "2026-04-24T02:56:54.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40158550.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/40158550.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/40158550.md)
author: "[長野原烟花店交易员](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/13857406.md)"
---

# If you really have enough principal, you don't nee…


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## Comments (2)

- **Macintosh Lee · 2026-04-24T05:05:55.000Z**: My priority is self-preservation, so I've always maintained a high cash allocation. Before and after the US-Israel conflict, I only reduced the cash in my portfolio from 50% to 40%. Given the volatility in the US market, I only used 10% of my cash to buy some stocks to play with, not daring to be to
- **Macintosh Lee · 2026-04-24T05:04:36.000Z**: Bought a couple of US military-industrial stocks last night, the cash ratio is a bit lower now