---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40159348.md"
description: "Questions from a friend;This is my analysis 1) 1. Corresponds to high interest rates being the main cause, and 8, 9, 11, 12 are in a causal relationship, 2 is a false proposition, 3 is controlling inflation, 4 is a short-term factor, 5 is a warning, cannot be over-interpreted; 6,7 are secondary causes; 10 is too far away, not considered for now; Summary: The currently exposed 8, 9, 11, 12 are indeed a hidden danger; Trump dreams of an interest rate cut, as long as mag7 still has the financial and material resources to pull, this tune will continue to be sung."
datetime: "2026-04-24T03:27:56.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40159348.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/40159348.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/40159348.md)
author: "[AngerBird](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/13017810.md)"
---

# Questions from a friend;This is my analysis 1) 1. …


## Comments (12)

- **IcyTea · 2026-04-24T03:46:31.000Z**: Admire Bird Uncle, Intel has made many times the profit again.
- **stallioN种马 · 2026-04-24T03:43:14.000Z**: Bro, can you repost the article?
  - **跟顾神反着买** (2026-04-24T05:00:32.000Z): I copied it down hahaha
  - **笨就交给大美利坚吧** (2026-04-24T06:08:02.000Z): I want to see it, I want to see it
  - **笨就交给大美利坚吧** (2026-04-24T06:08:26.000Z): If you don't give it, I'll throw a tantrum.
- **柚子梦 · 2026-04-24T03:37:23.000Z**: Thanks, Birdman
- **铜锣湾扎lift人 · 2026-04-24T03:34:31.000Z**: Good article
- **AngerBird · 2026-04-24T03:30:39.000Z · 👍 1**: If they really announce a significant interest rate cut (like 100 basis points) that day, the crisis might have already arrived; because the Fed never offers help in time of need, at least not in the past.
  - **厉害钊** (2026-04-24T03:36:22.000Z): What's Bird Bro's current cash position now? Is it better to hold cash and wait, or to get in and participate a bit?
  - **Owhathappen** (2026-04-24T11:15:48.000Z): An interesting perspective I saw: The Federal Reserve will only step in when market mechanisms fail, not because of specific prices.
  - **AngerBird** (2026-04-24T12:34:08.000Z): Throughout American history, it has almost always been the case without exception. This is the charm of the separation of powers... While most people are expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest