---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40244538.md"
description: "The sour and smelly rant of the missed-out partyRSI (Relative Strength Index) off the charts: The 14-day RSI of SOX has surged past 81.98. Historically, an RSI above 80 is usually considered extremely overbought, and since this occurred alongside 18 consecutive trading days of gains, this kind of slope is often referred to by technical analysts as a "parabolic top."Deviation from the moving average: The SOX index is currently about 40% above its 200-day moving average. The last time such an astonishing deviation occurred was back in June 2000 (on the eve of the dot-com bubble burst).Breadth narrowing: Although the index is rising, the proportion of individual stocks rising in the last two weeks of April has been dropping sharply. The market is now almost entirely propped up by a few "behemoths" like Nvidia, TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company), and ASML.ASML's warning: Although ASML raised its full-year 2026 revenue forecast, its guidance for the second quarter of 2026 (the next three months) was below market consensus. This indicates that even with strong AI demand, the supply chain and delivery cycles are hitting physical bottlenecks."
datetime: "2026-04-28T04:17:20.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40244538.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/40244538.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/40244538.md)
author: "[Fiin](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/16692875.md)"
---

# The sour and smelly rant of the missed-out partyRS…


### Related Stocks

- [NVDA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDA.US.md)
- [TSM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TSM.US.md)
- [ASML.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ASML.US.md)
- [NVDL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDL.US.md)
- [07788.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/07788.HK.md)
- [07388.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/07388.HK.md)
- [NVDY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDY.US.md)
- [NVDD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDD.US.md)
- [NVDX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDX.US.md)
- [NVDQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDQ.US.md)

## Comments (8)

- **江北乱抛交易员 · 2026-04-28T05:29:57.000Z**: Now we really need to pay attention to the risks, as they have accumulated a lot. This week's earnings report might just be the time for 'sell the news'.
- **戒急戒燥修心 · 2026-04-28T04:55:27.000Z**: The semiconductor that never looks back 🤨
- **再也不追高了 · 2026-04-28T04:35:57.000Z · 👍 1**: It had been falling for nearly six and a half months.
- **信念与耐心 · 2026-04-28T04:30:12.000Z**: It's risen too sharply; it should pull back to gather strength.
- **狂飙Jun · 2026-04-28T04:27:53.000Z**: Bought SOXS and Qualcomm. Still recovering..
- **哥哥 · 2026-04-28T04:23:32.000Z**: I currently only hold Microsoft and Meta, mostly in cash. I don't have the ability for value investing; I'm a speculator.
- **文帛 · 2026-04-28T04:19:18.000Z · 👍 1**: Out of 100 people, 99 will miss the opportunity.
  - **Fiin** (2026-04-28T04:25:40.000Z): If you didn't pick the right stock, even a rebound doesn't feel very engaging🤣