---
title: "Analysis of Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom Patterns: How to Identify Bottoming Signals?"
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40298873.md"
description: "Some time ago, Bitcoin rebounded, and some people thought the bull market was back. Actually, this position is not the bottom. The reason is simple: the bottom of Bitcoin is a sideways consolidation range, followed by a rapid surge on the right side to confirm the start of a bull market. The current situation does not match this pattern. To understand this, just review the trends at the bottom of the previous bear markets. Below is the bottom of the 2015 bear market. Below is the bottom of the 2018 bear market. Below is the bottom of the 2022 bear market. Reviewing the previous cycles, we find striking similarities. At the end of a bear market, there is often a final drop that breaks through everyone's psychological line of defense..."
datetime: "2026-04-29T18:34:15.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/40298873.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/40298873.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/40298873.md)
author: "[新用户_1pqK6W](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/22916270.md)"
---

# Analysis of Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom Patterns: How to Identify Bottoming Signals?

Recently, Bitcoin rebounded, and some people thought the bull market had returned. Actually, this position is not the bottom. The reason is simple: Bitcoin's bottom is a sideways consolidation range, followed by a rapid surge on the right side to confirm the start of a bull market. The current pattern does not match this.

To understand this, just review the price action at the bottom of previous bear markets.

Below is the bear market bottom in 2015.

![2015年](https://pub.pbkrs.com/social/2026/22916270/5WakDtsnuaGTmCtEk7yWmxYyhnvUJNzG.jpg?x-oss-process=style/lg)

Below is the bear market bottom in 2018.

![2018年](https://pub.pbkrs.com/social/2026/22916270/hPMzcTusChJgsHXF2teHuHR14ZdvYX7Q.jpg?x-oss-process=style/lg)

Below is the bear market bottom in 2022.

![2022年](https://pub.pbkrs.com/social/2026/22916270/pggpK9kPyYYs73JPC2B1puABGJZh7LKN.jpg?x-oss-process=style/lg)

Reviewing the previous cycles, we find striking similarities.

At the end of a bear market, there is often a final drop that breaks everyone's psychological defense line. Subsequently, the downward momentum weakens, the market falls into a sideways consolidation, and then a surge begins, ending the bear market and starting the bull market. Every bear market bottom is like this.

This is not a coincidence; it is still the 4-year cycle at work.

So there's no need to rush to bottom-fish. The lowest point of a bear market is most likely a sideways consolidation range at the bottom, forming a rounded bottom or a U-shaped bottom. Building a bottom takes time.

If you are not confident about bottom-fishing, wait until after a period of sideways consolidation, and then enter when the right side starts to surge. That is a clear signal that the bottom has been reached.

When this bull market just started in January 2023, I successfully predicted the bear market bottom using this method.

Buying Bitcoin on October 6, 2026, will be your closest opportunity to financial independence. The crypto market is in a bear market. There are 159 days left until the bottom of this Bitcoin bear market.

Bitcoin price at the time of posting: $75,100

$iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT.US) $Coinbase(COIN.US) $Strategy(MSTR.US)

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## Comments (7)

- **Cola哦 · 2026-04-29T20:35:44.000Z · 👍 3**: Is the current market environment and the position of the big coin still the same as the years you listed? If carving a mark on the side of a moving boat to find a lost sword worked, no one in the world would ever lose.
  - **MrSeven** (2026-04-30T15:32:25.000Z): Agree
  - **新用户_1pqK6W** (2026-04-30T18:26:10.000Z): It's precisely because there are too many people who think they're clever like you, that those who stick to outdated methods have gotten rich.
- **存储半导体牛 · 2026-04-29T18:42:39.000Z · 👍 1**: Don't know how to short? So sure, why not short? Playing the good Samaritan here?
  - **新用户_1pqK6W** (2026-04-30T18:27:06.000Z): I started being bearish six months ago, okay? Those who followed my account last year know that I made accurate predictions at the market peak.
  - **存储半导体牛** (2026-05-01T01:53:21.000Z): Calculated so accurately, why not set up a fortune-telling stall? Didn't sell your house and go all in shorting?
  - **存储半导体牛** (2026-05-01T01:55:19.000Z): If you had sold your house, taken out a loan, and leveraged all in on short selling, you probably wouldn't be a keyboard warrior now—you'd be financially independent!
