--- title: "美股实盘：鬼故事集中爆发（20260607）" type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41567032.md" description: "综述：本周标普 500 指数 下跌 2.59%，我的实盘净值 上涨 0.26%。2026 年内标普 500 指数 上涨 7.86%，2026 年内我的实盘净值 上涨 91.16%（年初净值为 2.20，本周净值 4.20）。交易：卖出一半的 MRVL，买入等额 LITE 持仓：NVDA 11.0%，SNDK 31.2%，MRVL 8.8%，GLW 12.7%，NEM 12.5%..." datetime: "2026-06-07T07:36:57.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41567032.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/41567032.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/41567032.md) author: "[京城Z先生](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/9198235.md)" --- # 美股实盘：鬼故事集中爆发（20260607） **综述：** 本周标普 500 指数 下跌 2.59%，我的实盘净值 上涨 0.26%。 2026 年内标普 500 指数 上涨 7.86%，2026 年内我的实盘净值 上涨 91.16%（年初净值为 2.20，本周净值 4.20）。 ![图片](https://pub.pbkrs.com/uploads/2026/2763dd050568f4eb084bdb273dd37f6b?x-oss-process=style/lg) **交易：** 卖出一半的 MRVL，买入等额 LITE **持仓：** NVDA 11.0%，SNDK 31.2%，MRVL 8.8%，GLW 12.7%，NEM 12.5%，LITE 10.0%，现金/美债 13.7%。 有四舍五入，且一般不记录低于 1% 的迷你仓和短线投机操作。 **复盘：** 先说交易，本周黄教主喊单惊奇队长到万亿市值，股价狂飙，**三天就涨完了我今年对它最乐观的预期**，达到了估值表的卖出点位，我才买了一个月股价就翻倍了，这只也是我本周唯一的盈利股，好在利润足够狂野，才让账号勉强收红。 按照惯例，我会全仓卖出的，但今年先后经历了 BE 和 LITE 两只触发卖点清仓后，公司又天降巨单再次爆拉估值的教训，我觉得这次还是折中一下吧，本金全出了，和 SNDK 一样让利润去跑，毕竟 AI 赛道发展太快了，我基于过往信息给出的估值，可能跟不上科技的更新迭代速度。 至于买入 LITE，这是我本来就想接回来的股票，只是一直不怎么回调导致我上次卖飞后只能光看着，这次趁着下跌先接一点。在这只股上我做的非常不好，预期值给的过于保守，虽然三次买入每次都赚了 40%+，可如果我去年 20%+ 的重仓坚定拿到现在，至少 5 倍...Z 师傅拥有超高的前瞻眼光和稀烂的交易操作。 本周美股和 A 股走势差不多，如果没有周五的大跌，那就又赢麻了，大部分持仓股都在突破性上涨，可惜没有如果，周五一天闷杀所有利润，因为非农数据炸了，市场开始往加息的预期走，之前主升的持仓全部来了一根长长的上影线。 这次的数据已经不是普通的上修，而是直接翻倍，之所以如此之好，我认为马上开始的世界杯是主要原因，临时岗位暴增所致，等下个月结束了怎么上去的怎么下来，直接走加息剧本那还不至于。 特师傅更是当天就坐不住了，直接发文喊单按时沃什该降息让股市上涨，不过由于还在静默期，**16 号前沃什应该什么都不能说。** 此外，12 号吧 SpaceX 就要上市了，到时候没准又得吸血一波，之前市场就有这个预期，所以叠加非农的数据，直接爆杀一波杠杆，让短期过热的美股调整下，我觉得还 ok 吧。 X 预计能飙到 2 万亿市值，最近又爆出特斯拉可能与它合体的预期，我对该板块只有投机倾向，纯投资还是缺乏信仰，各位是否参与随意。 \--- **个股方面，** 1、科技：NVDA/GOOG 黄教主去韩国了，新闻里是一片欣欣向荣的样子，完全没有股市里的血雨腥风。 产生如此巨大的反差，主要原因是公司和行业的基本面，都是极其乐观的，但是股价并不完全跟随业绩，有时候会涨太猛或跌太猛，随着全球金融衍生品的泛滥，以及券商们集体解除高频短线交易的限制，波动会越来越大的，我自己尽量不碰衍生品只做正股，就是怕心态被搞坏了，最终导致交易变形。 2、存储：SNDK/MU 全球最靓的仔，到处都是存为王的口号，但要知道，**这个口号的含义是长期看多存储，不是存储每天都突破新高**，所以这时候杀一杀杠杆赌徒，有助于筹码更健康，韩国那边杀的尤其惨，三倍做多韩国的 KORU 更是一天跌 40%，周内高点已腰斩，下周海力士和三星会加速坠机，因为还得补周五美股计价的跌幅，到时候韩国怕是得救市了。 此前很多人喊踏空了存储，如今机会来了，你敢接吗？ 3、光通信：LITE/MRVL/GLW 股市短期是投票机，长期是称重机，好公司都会自己努力，然后回到它本来的位置的，但如果你的认知不到位，那钱可能会随着市场波动越来越少，光通信全家桶我是长线看好的，我中美都处于高配，但这不代表明天会涨，我认为 EUV 和 FOTO 里的成分股大体上都不错，没必要非得抄我买的这几只，毕竟知道它们到底是做什么的人其实不多。 4、金属：GLD/NEM 由于最乐观的 6 月降息预期肯定没了，中性的就是 9 月了，那么在此之前贵金属板块就得继续难过了，不过考虑到去年的行情，也是先阴跌大半年才开启主升的，咱们饼先吃上，这板块的赢家只能是大周期熬鹰资本，中短线还是在科技赛道赔率更高，所以比较考验人性的。 目前我中美都只剩一只持仓了，看到很多人都熬不住开始割肉之旅，接下来看看市场修复情况，如果企稳了我有加回来的想法；没迹象的话就只能继续熬了，反正都已经焦了。 5、下周计划 最后这一成多的现金仓位，有点跃跃欲试，看下周市场修复情况。 \--- 最后，估值表： 小幅上调了 MRVL 的估值，但我仍然认为目前赔率很一般了。万亿市值肯定能到，但我给的预期是 5 年内，黄教主也学坏啦！ ![图片](https://pub.pbkrs.com/uploads/2026/4ef62361d557065d8c9dc20dd6fea770?x-oss-process=style/lg) **注释（请一定阅读）：** 1、上图的点位均为本人通过特定的方式计算，不代表一定能精确且能触达，只是辅助参考作用。 2、一个点位有 2 个值，则代表该区间的上下限，用哪个取决于本人的主观意愿和对公司的了解程度。 3、标蓝标红都是为了给自己警示，该股票到达买入/卖出区域附近，需要重点关注，但不代表我一定会执行。 4、表格内相关数字，会随我个人对公司基本面的动态评估，不定期调整，请勿作为长期参考。 5、以上表格内容均为本人实盘记录，是做给我自己看的，无法指导你们的交易，问就是别买/赶紧割。 $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) $Micron Tech(MU.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US) $Lumentum(LITE.US) $Newmont(NEM.US) $Corning(GLW.US) ### Related Stocks - [NE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NE.US.md) - [NVDA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDA.US.md) - [SNDK.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SNDK.US.md) - [MU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MU.US.md) - [LITE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/LITE.US.md) - [GLW.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GLW.US.md) - [BE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/BE.US.md) - [SSNGY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SSNGY.US.md) - [GOOG.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GOOG.US.md) - [.SPX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/.SPX.US.md) - [SPY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPY.US.md) - [TSLA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TSLA.US.md) - [MRVL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MRVL.US.md) - [NVD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVD.US.md) - [NEM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NEM.US.md) - [KORU.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/KORU.US.md) - [GLD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GLD.US.md) - [NVDL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDL.US.md) - [07788.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/07788.HK.md) - [07388.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/07388.HK.md) - [GOOGL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/GOOGL.US.md) - [NVD.DE](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVD.DE.md) ## Comments (63) - **跟顾神反着买 · 2026-06-08T03:55:37.000Z**: Got it, for optical modules, just go all in on the expensive ones, the stock god doesn't dare to come in😂 - **WEI要加油 · 2026-06-08T02:04:03.000Z**: Last week, I preemptively handled a wave, organizing 40% of the cash. This week, I'll hold onto the cash and wait to see the opportunities. - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-08T02:18:00.000Z): A master at escaping the top - **WEI要加油** (2026-06-08T02:37:46.000Z): Purely luck, didn't expect the big crash on Friday, was just thinking about reducing positions early to prevent an IPO crash. - **學習 · 2026-06-07T17:17:17.000Z**: Set to buy foto at $24 on Friday - **[已注销] · 2026-06-07T16:44:34.000Z**: Z bro, what do you think about Broadcom? Should we buy some? - **Liora · 2026-06-07T15:34:39.000Z**: Hahaha yeah (≧∇≦) ﾉ Trillion is definitely achievable. Not sure when. - **养乐多o.o · 2026-06-07T14:30:14.000Z**: Does Futu issue A-shares? - **97金犇 · 2026-06-07T12:56:09.000Z**: Impressive👍 - **赵传 · 2026-06-07T12:25:18.000Z**: On Friday, I added MRVL and my profit instantly dropped from 100% to 35%. I didn't get a good price. Lite went straight up 2x, and I also added two optical and storage ETFs. I was shocked to see you sold MRVL, but given you've missed rallies on BE and Lite, I'll hold my position for now. Just follow - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T12:34:06.000Z): You still need to do your own research, don't just make decisions based on my trades.🥲 - **赵传** (2026-06-07T17:11:03.000Z): Hahaha, sir, don't feel burdened. Adults are responsible for their own gains and losses. White Hair X is super popular on the platform, and I don't dare copy his homework either. Copying yours feels p - **与未来 · 2026-06-07T10:58:50.000Z**: Still have half the ammunition left, and there's no sign of stabilization yet, but a sharp drop is always better than a slow decline. - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T10:59:54.000Z): Still have so much ammo, it's really enviable 🥹 - **与未来** (2026-06-07T11:06:29.000Z): On the day Longbridge issued the 6.12 notice, I had already cleared my positions, but the next day when I saw the community had countermeasures, I couldn't resist buying some light. - **铜锣湾扎lift人** (2026-06-07T14:26:42.000Z): Bro, what's the community's strategy? - **国泰君安是垃圾 · 2026-06-07T10:32:07.000Z**: Run directly tomorrow or maybe bounce back a bit before running... Feeling a bit better around half past something. Heavy on SK Hynix, Korea... - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T10:35:58.000Z): Don't ask me about trading. There are many 'Minute K-line Gods' on Longbridge. Ask them. - **敏敏M · 2026-06-07T10:06:37.000Z**: Senior, today's dynamic valuation table you shared. Each stock has an ideal buy point and a reasonable price. Does that mean when it reaches the reasonable price, it's suitable to consider buying? I haven't quite figured it out yet. - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T10:07:26.000Z): Read carefully at the end - **新用户_223Aa · 2026-06-07T10:05:00.000Z**: Boss, what should I do? I bought a lot of Zijin Mining in A-shares at a cost of 20, heavily weighted. I didn't sell at 45, and even added more positions between 20-45. Now it's at 30, the profits are all gone, and it's about to eat into the principal. I'm really upset, please give some guidance. - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T10:08:08.000Z): No guidance ability, adults make their own decisions. - **Lordly · 2026-06-07T09:56:36.000Z · 👍 1**: Where can I see Z's A-share live portfolio? - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T10:04:34.000Z): Domestic Snowball - **Lordly** (2026-06-07T10:04:53.000Z): Thanks 🙏 - **读书炒股 · 2026-06-07T09:39:04.000Z**: Z bro, Dazi is back in the central region now, what's your price target for this stock within this year? - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T09:44:46.000Z): Any price within a reasonable range is fine. - **我被干服了 · 2026-06-07T09:28:01.000Z**: Mr. Z, could you please advise why not wait for MRVL to reach the ideal selling point, or wait for LITE to reach the ideal buying point before buying? - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T09:29:00.000Z): MRVL has arrived, go check out last week's valuation table. - **我被干服了** (2026-06-07T09:32:11.000Z): Oh, I noticed! If MRVL falls near the buying point this month, will Z-lao still add more? - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T09:35:53.000Z): What's up, you want me to endorse your gambling? - **xx是为了回本 · 2026-06-07T09:19:55.000Z**: Not sure if it can be understood this way. Position represents attitude, cash is king! - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T09:28:18.000Z): I think everyone is like this, not optimistic about what position you're taking 😅 - **卢氏一族 · 2026-06-07T09:15:30.000Z**: Front row watching. - **奇迹的交易员cola · 2026-06-07T08:55:29.000Z · 👍 11**: @京城Z先生 Xiao Gu's loan is about to be overdue, and he can't pay his credit card bill today. - **京城Z先生** (2026-06-07T08:56:33.000Z): How many more versions of his last dance are there? 🥲 - **奇迹的交易员cola** (2026-06-07T08:58:13.000Z): He still has usurious loans available🌚 - ***烟火声*** (2026-06-07T10:22:27.000Z): You can even sell your house and have a go at it😐 - **阿二每天都要开心呀 · 2026-06-07T08:44:02.000Z**: 11.5's Chalco