---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41672563.md"
description: "$Direxion Semicon Bear 3X(SOXS.US)The impact of the CPI trend on long-term US Treasury rates is the real medium-term bloodletting at the discount rate and liquidity level, reflecting institutional thinking. As long as tonight's data exceeds April's 3.8% (even just 3.9%), that's enough to trigger a chain reaction. Lower than 4.2%? Totally possible! If it really falls below 4.2%, US stocks are highly likely to stage a strong rebound on sentiment. But does that mean the "summer chill" is over? Absolutely not. As long as it's higher than April's figure, we must remain highly vigilant.The "grey rhino" is never inflation itself, but the unexpected rise in long-term US Treasury rates (10-year)!Look at the current macro picture: the US is deep in debt, interest payment pressure is off the charts, and geopolitics is a mess. In this context, if the inflation trend in May and June is just higher than April's, long-term rates are bound to rise. Not to mention the two major catalysts ahead: the blockade effect in the Strait of Hormuz is still transmitting, coupled with the upcoming 6.11-7.19 US-Canada-Mexico World Cup. The high volatility in energy prices will inevitably quickly feed into North America's core services inflation. The 10-year US Treasury yield is highly likely to surge beyond expectations.It's highly probable that inflation will continue to worsen in May and June, and the rise in long-term US Treasury rates is far from over. The grey rhino is already on the run, and it needs enough time and space to unleash its destructive power.Tonight, if CPI really falls below 4.2%, causing the already extremely crowded AI concept stocks to stage another strong rebound, everyone must stay calm and control your hands! Don't be fooled by sentiment into buying at highs. Guarding against subsequent greater stampede risks is the key to surviving this summer."
datetime: "2026-06-10T10:10:19.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41672563.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/41672563.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/41672563.md)
author: "[Jacky Hsueh](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/18524847.md)"
---

# $Direxion Semicon Bear 3X(SOXS.US)The impact of th…


### Related Stocks

- [SOXS.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SOXS.US.md)

## Comments (33)

- **鸟枪换炮 · 2026-06-10T21:05:38.000Z**: Buy this team and go long on the underlying stock, don't want to sell the underlying stock
- **健身达龟 · 2026-06-10T14:11:01.000Z**: Oh ho, the short sellers are lying flat again today
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T14:11:55.000Z): It's been range-bound at the open; it's not certain that the S&P 500 can't break above the resistance level, so it's still too early to be happy.
  - **健身达龟** (2026-06-10T14:17:06.000Z): Hahahahahaha, I'm not in a hurry, anyway I won't be able to trade soon. In the long term, I'm bearish, just waiting for the century's big crash. As long as I don't get margin called, I'll just watch w
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T14:18:05.000Z): There's no way to get margin called, just hold through the sideways market. There's a lot of news this month, no need to worry about getting crushed by a drop.
- **Jacky Hsueh · 2026-06-10T12:43:22.000Z**: As expected, nothing happened, continuing with yesterday's pace.
  - **老板不要放葱** (2026-06-10T12:46:54.000Z): Shorting tonight will cause a drop for a while
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T12:47:26.000Z): It's okay, I'll decide based on the intraday trend.
  - **老板不要放葱** (2026-06-10T15:38:46.000Z): Sigh, it's yesterday's script again
- **健身达龟 · 2026-06-10T12:33:57.000Z**: Impressive, no need to wait for the intraday session, directly buying the expectation and the fact.
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T12:34:37.000Z): It's already an open secret
- **健身达龟 · 2026-06-10T11:53:13.000Z**: I'll share my market intuition. After the CPI data is released at 8:30, it will continue to drop, possibly falling as much as 20% intraday. However, 'buy the rumor, sell the news.' When it drops deep enough, bargain hunting and CTA strategies will force a V-shaped recovery. It's highly likely to end
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T12:00:55.000Z): Day trading at high levels has been quite good lately.
  - **老板不要放葱** (2026-06-10T12:48:40.000Z): The CPI data is relatively good, going long for a rebound.
- **Jacky Hsueh · 2026-06-10T10:24:52.000Z · 👍 1**: Please look at the big screen
- **老板不要放葱 · 2026-06-10T10:18:00.000Z**: The probability of falling below 4.2 is very high, and it was controlled in the previous months.
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T10:19:26.000Z): Be sure to watch today's position closely. Don't hesitate.
  - **老板不要放葱** (2026-06-10T10:20:40.000Z): If it falls below 4.2, reduce positions significantly without hesitation
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T10:22:08.000Z): Still the same old saying: watch the trends of the S&P 500 and CPI, and you'll know how to trade. Can't just look at the local picture anymore; tonight, I'll also be watching the index to decide w
- **山雨 · 2026-06-10T10:17:17.000Z**: The semiconductor sector is crowded. It's about finding certainty within uncertainty. Not bearish, but it's tough.
- **山雨 · 2026-06-10T10:16:16.000Z**: 4% is enough
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T10:18:59.000Z): If it falls below, immediately sell to observe profit-taking; it's another laborious task to judge the position and then pick up the trash to get it back. If it's above, hold on and watch them perform
  - **山雨** (2026-06-10T10:22:56.000Z): Yes, tonight is especially exciting. It's recommended to withdraw some principal in advance, even if it means chasing highs.
  - **Jacky Hsueh** (2026-06-10T10:23:42.000Z): CICC 4.24%, Deutsche Bank 4.29%, Goldman Sachs/UBS both lean above 4.2%.