--- title: "Based on the analysis of NVIDIA by the AI system I built" type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42274687.md" description: "Special note: The following analysis is based on a simulated deduction using NVIDIA's latest financial report data as of June 29, 2026, US stock market conditions, and publicly available market information, aiming to demonstrate the practical application process of this framework. 📊 NVIDIA (NVDA) In-depth Review Report【Macro Environment Score】Score: 7 points (volatile market) Basis for judgment: Index trend: The broader market is fluctuating between the 20-day and 200-day moving averages (20 points). Market sentiment: Trading volume remains in the range of 800 billion to 1 trillion, with AI computing power and tech growth stocks performing actively (15 points). Liquidity: Social financing data is recovering moderately..." datetime: "2026-06-29T08:07:05.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42274687.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/42274687.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/42274687.md) author: "[听香琴断](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/10285326.md)" --- # Based on the analysis of NVIDIA by the AI system I built Special Note: The following analysis is a simulation based on NVIDIA's latest financial report data as of June 29, 2026, U.S. stock market conditions, and publicly available market information, aiming to demonstrate the practical application process of this framework. 📊 NVIDIA (NVDA) In-depth Review Report 【Macro Environment Score】 - Score: 7 points (Volatile Market) - Basis for Judgment: - Index Trend: The broader market is fluctuating between the 20-day and 200-day moving averages (20 points). - Market Sentiment: Trading volume remains in the range of 800 billion to 1 trillion, with AI computing power and tech growth stocks performing actively (15 points). - Liquidity: Social financing data is showing a moderate recovery, and global demand for AI infrastructure and the inference era continues to increase (15 points). - Positioning Suggestion: Keep total position between 50%-60%. Only B+ grade or higher targets are suitable for establishing a position. 【Leopard System Raw Score】 - Raw Score: 82 points (A- Grade) - Five-Dimensional Scoring Funnel: 1. Industry Momentum (29/30): The absolute giant in global artificial intelligence (AI) chips, fully betting on the AI inference era. Q1 2026 data center revenue set a record of $75.2 billion (up 92% YoY), and the next-generation Rubin platform is scheduled for mass production in the second half of 2026, with extremely high industry barriers. 2. Risk-Reward & Valuation (23/25): As of June 29, 2026, the stock price is $194.83, with a current P/E ratio of 29.54x. Considering the exponential growth in AI computing power demand, the valuation is in a reasonable range with a good margin of safety. 3. Financial Inflection Point (25/25): Performance has seen a strong surge. Full-year revenue for FY2026 (ended April 26, 2026) reached $215.938 billion (up 65.47% YoY), and net profit attributable to shareholders reached $120.067 billion (up 64.75% YoY). Q1 FY2027 data center revenue hit another record high, with profitability significantly jumping. 4. Shareholding & Technicals (5/20): Major deduction point. Recent stock price shows a one-sided downtrend, falling from $210.69 on June 18th to $194.83, with short-term moving averages in a bearish alignment and heavy overhead resistance from trapped positions. - Management & Governance Deductions: - Deduction: Q4 FY2026 results exceeded expectations but stock performance was flat, and TSMC's advanced packaging capacity (CoWoS-L) and HBM4 memory supply still face shortages before mid-2026, putting pressure on the supply chain (-5 points). - Adjusted: 87 - 5 = 82 points. 【Whale System Raw Score】 - Raw Score: 96 points - Three-Ring Resonance Framework: 1. Industry Trend (45/45): Agent AI has reached an inflection point, with computing power demand growing exponentially. The company is transitioning from single components to a full-stack integrated system, deeply binding the “Big Four” cloud service providers within its ecosystem, placing it at the absolute forefront of the industry trend. 2. Company Transformation (36/40): The business model has undergone a qualitative change, with products evolving from single GPUs to rack-scale systems (GB200 NVL72), significantly increasing the average selling price. Concurrently, a $20 billion acquisition of Groq integrates low-latency inference technology, solidifying its position as a “one-stop AI computing power shop”. 3. Capital Resonance (15/15): In May 2026, market capitalization surpassed $5.5 trillion, becoming the first company in history to achieve this milestone. As a core global asset in AI computing power, long-term institutional capital has strong willingness to accumulate. - Industry Rotation Ranking: - Ranking: Top 10% (Global AI computing power, chips, and full-stack computing sector). - Adjustment: +10 points. - Sector Composite Score: 96 + 10 = 106 points. 【Mouse System Raw Score】 - Raw Score: 88 points (A Grade) - Event Assessment: - Certainty: FY2026 and Q1 FY2027 results comprehensively exceeded expectations, and the company has clear inventory and supply commitments covering through the 2027 calendar year, indicating extremely high fundamental certainty. - Time Window: Currently in a left-side accumulation period after consecutive price corrections, with attractive valuations. - Upside Potential: As the world's highest-valued tech giant, catalyzed by cost reduction and efficiency improvements in the AI inference era, it possesses extremely high upward potential. 【Composite Score & Rating】 - Base Composite Score: 82 × 0.5 (Leopard) + 96 × 0.3 (Whale) + 88 × 0.2 (Mouse) = 41 + 28.8 + 17.6 = 87.4 points - Sector Adjustment: 87.4 + 10 (Industry Rotation Bonus) = 97.4 points - Manual Adjustment: - Trigger: Despite extremely strong industry trends and explosive results, the recent consecutive decline in stock price from above $210 has caused severe technical breakdowns, requiring vigilance against further downside due to emotional inertia. - Action: Maintain A Grade rating, but operationally suggest accumulating in batches at lower prices, avoiding chasing highs. - Final Composite Rating: A Grade (≥80 points) - Conclusion: Confidently build a position. The company's fundamentals are experiencing a strong surge, with clear logic in its full-stack AI integration and inference era strategy. Current valuations offer relatively high cost-effectiveness, making it suitable as a long-term core holding in a volatile market. 【Operation Suggestions & Risk Control】 - Suggested Single Stock Position: 10% (Meets the standard for A-grade targets in a volatile market, suitable for left-side batch accumulation). - Profit-Taking & Stop-Loss Execution Standards (Follow Leopard System Standards): - Profit-Taking: 1. For a medium-term reasonable rebound range of 20%-30%, if the stock price touches the $230-$240 range, suggest gradually reducing positions to lock in profits. 2. If it rebounds near $210-$215 (previous high-volume trading area and moving average resistance), consider day trading or reducing positions. - Stop-Loss: 1. If the stock price effectively breaks below $190 (recent low and integer support level), be alert to the risk of a second dip. Short-term positions should be stopped out or additional buying paused. 2. If subsequent financial reports show a significant slowdown in data center growth, or if the mass production progress of the next-generation Rubin platform falls severely short of expectations, decisively liquidate the position. 💡 Core Logic Summary Under the V3.0 framework, NVIDIA is a typical global core asset characterized by “strong performance surge, short-term emotional mispricing.” 1. Macro Fit: In a volatile market, tech giants with real performance delivery and reasonable valuations are most favored by institutions. The company's FY2026 net profit surged 64.75% YoY, perfectly meeting the Leopard System's requirements for a financial inflection point. 2. Solid Fundamentals: As the absolute leader in global AI computing power, the company has not only achieved a qualitative change in its business model from selling chips to selling AI factories but has also secured its position in the low-cost demand of the AI inference era through acquisitions like Groq. 3. Clear Risk Points: The biggest current pressure is the short-term technical breakdown. The consecutive decline in stock price in late June reflects the market digesting previous gains. Be vigilant against further downside due to short-term emotional inertia. Next Steps: Suggest adopting a batch accumulation strategy, establishing a core position in the $190-$195 range. If the price dips near $190 and stabilizes, a small increase in position can be considered to average down the cost. Do not pursue quick short-term profits. Patiently await the valuation recovery and performance realization driven by the further release of demand in the AI inference era. ### Related Stocks - [NVDA.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDA.US.md) - [TSM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/TSM.US.md) - [NVDL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDL.US.md) - [07788.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/07788.HK.md) - [07388.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/07388.HK.md) - [NVDY.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDY.US.md) - [NVDD.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDD.US.md) - [NVDX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDX.US.md) - [NVDQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDQ.US.md) - [NVD.DE](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVD.DE.md)