---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42392211.md"
description: "$Strategy(MSTR.US) published a technical analysis for this bull-bear cycle since 2023 in February, and the view remains unchanged: the B-wave rebound is expected to reach around 8.2-8.4.It has already dropped from 8.2 to 5.8, confirming the completion of C1. C2 is expected to rebound to around 6.6, with a strong possibility of touching 7. Then a new main declining wave will start, followed by another weak rebound, and the bear market will end with one final drop.Optimistically predicting 45k-50k. MSTR may not necessarily have a very low MNAV to offer a cheap price; it depends on what events happen then.$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)$Coinbase(COIN.US)"
datetime: "2026-07-02T14:54:17.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42392211.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/42392211.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/42392211.md)
author: "[左饼右箭](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/13751259.md)"
---

# $Strategy(MSTR.US) published a technical analysis …


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## Comments (23)

- **spaceXYZ · 2026-07-05T16:16:40.000Z**: Time-wise, is the low point estimated to be around the year-end midterm elections, or even earlier?
- **非恐慌性持有 · 2026-07-04T04:54:25.000Z**: Theoretically, Bitcoin will hit new highs later, and MSTR will add positions along the way. Will MSTR continue to hit new highs with Bitcoin?
  - **左饼右箭** (2026-07-04T05:45:57.000Z): Mstr is hard to predict, no one knows what happened in between, it requires faith, btc will reach a new high.
  - **非恐慌性持有** (2026-07-04T05:53:29.000Z): The narrative of Bitcoin halving every 4-year cycle is still there; historically, it has always halved before hitting new all-time highs. With this cycle halving theory, the logic of halving before ne
  - **左饼右箭** (2026-07-04T06:37:36.000Z): I said BTC would hit a new high, MSTR is hard to predict, if you're bullish then find an opportunity to buy, I only buy when the price is good and the probability of winning is relatively high, as for
- **我是丘月 · 2026-07-03T00:44:17.000Z**: Ready for takeoff
- **大威天龙. · 2026-07-02T23:02:34.000Z**: Why not sell the house, sell the wife, and go all in, just play with 100x leverage on crypto then.
- **非恐慌性持有 · 2026-07-02T15:27:14.000Z · 👍 1**: MSTR is already heavily discounted. If the discount widens further, it will become quite attractive in terms of value for money.
  - **左饼右箭** (2026-07-02T15:29:30.000Z): It's okay now, but a few days ago when it was at 80, it was the most panicked since 2023, with mnav only around 0.65.
  - **非恐慌性持有** (2026-07-02T15:58:28.000Z): I sold the 2x leveraged long position I bought at the bottom after hours. I think I can buy it back at 200 when the bull market comes later, as there's no sign of an upward trend now.
- **echo卡卡 · 2026-07-02T15:04:48.000Z**: Boss, looking at it this way, MSTR is estimated to be around 70?
  - **左饼右箭** (2026-07-02T15:06:22.000Z): Mstr is hard to predict; once it reaches my target, I'll execute, and I won't try to predict the price.
  - **风风** (2026-07-02T16:37:21.000Z): Bro, post when you execute it
- **双双2026 · 2026-07-02T15:00:15.000Z**: Sigh, it only goes up after it's already dropped dead. Who can stand it?
- **Bullish · 2026-07-02T15:00:12.000Z · 👍 2**: No matter what happens by then, as long as BTC approaches 50k, I'm going all in.
  - **左饼右箭** (2026-07-02T15:01:48.000Z): Unity of knowledge and action is the most important.
  - **Bullish** (2026-07-02T15:18:32.000Z): Yes
  - **Bullish** (2026-07-02T15:18:44.000Z): This is the closest opportunity to wealth.